COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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Eds said:
Always going to be a rise in cases if we are testing more, it's the rise in deaths that is more worrying. Expect an increase in more positive tests over the next few days,hopefully the deaths are a blip
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Sadly, the deaths will be the bottom step of the escalator.
It's inevitable.
This thing is ramping up and it's only going to get worse.
 
BlueHammer85 said:
hopefully any dickhead planning to have a bbq this weekend with people over might think twice now
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The forecast is for a lot colder weather so with a bit of luck that will put people off. If ever we needed typical miserable British weather to kick in its now.
 
Gelsons Dad said:
The % of people who test positive is increasing steadily. It's now up to about 1/3. This could be for any number of reasons for example: you present with serious flu like symptoms, you get tested, you have the flu. This will now be dropping as the flu season comes to an end so a larger % of people with flue like symptoms will actually have COVID. Not because of the rise in covid but because of the fall in Flu.

The only reliable proxy is confirmed covid deaths as this number is related to the number of new cases at some point in the past. However, exactly what point is not known as there is conflicting data about incubation periods and in the future more than now it will also be related to the quality of care that can be given.

There are still plenty of papers being released about this from the same sources as previous stats and they are updating the models as the data set gets bigger.

For anyone who gets concerned when they see large increases is daily case numbers, remember the number of cases reported each day depends on the number of tests done. As the number of tests increases in the coming days the figures may look alarming but you need to take them for what they are.

The reason the US numbers have risen so rapidly in the last few days isn't because suddenly everyone is catching it, it's because suddenly everyone is being tested.
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Sensible, and a a reasonable insight if you ask me
 
Jesus, a mortuary being built at Birmingham airport with capacity for 12,000 bodies. That’s ominous. And it’s not the only one being built.
 
We were in Madrid for the game a few weeks ago, had a brilliant four days there nobody could have had any idea how quickly this would spread around the world :(
 
Manchester_lalala said:
What a depressing day of figures. It’s going to get a shit load worst too. I’ve been classed as an essential worker and still turning up, but I’m seriously thinking about telling work to ram it next week.
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I have done just that cannot afford for my missus to get it. At times like this, a few quid in the bank or still having a wife in 6 months there is no contest
 
Marvin said:
Pleased to see that universities and research institutes will be co-opted into testing. About time.

A pity the media didn't ask about the quick response antigen testing other countries are now using. That's potentially very significant although it sounds like the entire focus is now going to shift to nursing a wave of patients with zero resources available for anything other than caring for patients.

I don't know why the British are so secretive with their data. What does their sampling show? Yesterday they suggested social distancing was having some effect on the data, well in what way? We're going to be watching some very grim news in the coming days. It's important that we get some encouragement where there is some.....hence everyone pores over the Italian and Spanish data when it comes out.
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Unfortunately....

Italy has not yet reached Covid-19 peak, says head of country's health institute
In Italy, the frontline of Europe’s battle against Covid-19, disease infections have not yet reached their peak, according to the head of the country’s national health institute, who warned that lockdown measures would have to be extended.

The country has reported 8,215 deaths of people who contracted the coronavirus, with the total confirmed cases topping 80,000. “We haven’t reached the peak and we haven’t passed it,” the chief of the Superior Health Institute, Silvio Brusaferro, said, adding that there were however “signs of a slowdown” in the numbers of people becoming infected.

“When the descent begins, how steep it is will depend on our behaviour,” Brusaferro said, referring to how strictly Italians will continue to respect a government-imposed lockdown.
 
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