Silent spreading is the reason this virus is so dangerous. Influenza can also spread before an individual has symptoms but the viral load during such spread is nothing like at the same level. Also with Covid-19 some people can spread it without ever becoming ill.Before anyone gets too comfortable...
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-52840763
The second wave is not now. R is still below one.The 2nd wave is going to be as bad if not worse than the first.
If we’d held out just a 3-4 weeks longer with a stronger lockdown then we’d have most likely avoided it, at least to the degree it will hit now.
Unfortunately people thought ‘protecting the economy’ was more important. What they didn’t realise that holding out just that bit longer would protect the economy much more than rushing back into things would.
Younger people out drinking, people of all ages going round to houses. Social distancing isn’t an exact science. If you’re round someone’s house getting pissed and one of you has the virus it’s likely it would be passed on if you’re with each other all day, using the same bathroom etc, even if you’re so far apart.
The figures in a few months are going to be horrendous compared to the countries which did lockdown right, and they already look outrageously bad right now.
This government has so much to answer for.
No guarantee of a second wave, but highly probable.There is no guarantee there is even going to be a second wave so god knows how you work that one out. I swear some people on here see it as a competition to see who can be as pessimistic and miserable as possible, keep your doom mongering to your self.
Where are these hotspot maps mate, got a link?No guarantee of a second wave, but highly probable.
There certainly isn't one at the moment as most of England is down to an R of around 0.4 (see the hotspot maps published a few days ago)
The 2nd wave is going to be as bad if not worse than the first.
If we’d held out just a 3-4 weeks longer with a stronger lockdown then we’d have most likely avoided it, at least to the degree it will hit now.
Unfortunately people thought ‘protecting the economy’ was more important. What they didn’t realise that holding out just that bit longer would protect the economy much more than rushing back into things would.
Younger people out drinking, people of all ages going round to houses. Social distancing isn’t an exact science. If you’re round someone’s house getting pissed and one of you has the virus it’s likely it would be passed on if you’re with each other all day, using the same bathroom etc, even if you’re so far apart.
The figures in a few months are going to be horrendous compared to the countries which did lockdown right, and they already look outrageously bad right now.
This government has so much to answer for.
Given prior to the lockdown we did absolutely nothing to stop the spread, the 2nd wave cannot be as bad. We know far more and we are testing far more so we will detect spikes faster.
Last time we hadn't even thought to call 999 but this time the fire engines are parked outside ready for the fire.
The only way to catch this virus and spread it is to catch it from someone else but the current estimate is that only 0.24% of the entire population are currently infected. The risk now generally is very low and if we can maintain R below 1 by social distancing than that number will reduce even more.
For the most part, if even 50% of the population follows the rules then that's a 50% reduction in infections which at the worst of the first wave brings R down from 3 to 1.5.
The most interesting statistic is that for every coronavirus test performed only 21% actually had symptoms........ I think the real number who have been infected already is MASSIVE and well into the tens of millions. This for me is why immunity testing is far more important than finding a vaccine.
If the above is correct and many do have immunity (ie herd immunity) then there's a very low chance of a second wave anyway.