Donald Trump

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Of course, not every account that responds to this can be verified to be legitimate and telling the truth. And these are obviously only anecdotal, local accounts — there’s nothing scientific about the various assessments and you wouldn’t use this for data collection per say. Trumpers tends to plaster their support on everything, whilst liberals and independents are often not as quick to put up signs.

But I do find the replies from so many across the US, especially the verified accounts, to be very interesting. And I wonder how many people simply don’t advertise their allegiance and support of Biden for fear of the response from their Trumper neighbours.

I can attest to the response from the verified account regarding Maine; it is very much a “purple” state and once you get away from the southern coast and the greater Portland/Bangor areas (admittedly the areas where a lot of people in the state live) the Trump signage becomes frequent and much more visible than Biden support gear. And they tend to be much more... robust in their support. An acquaintance apparently had a shouting match with a few Trumpers last week outside of a market over her wearing a Biden campaign t-shirt. They [unironically] called Biden a paedophile and asked why she would support him over the president; she replied reminding them Trump is an actual paedophile and admitted sexual predator and things escalated from there.

As many of us have said, there does seem to be a palpable tension, with one side being geared up for a sort of “war”, if needed, by El Presidente and his generales.



The electoral map showed the same rural v urban dynamic last election. And I see the same things when I travel to far Northern California and eastern Oregon. This time Trump has to run on his own track record, not against Hillary Clinton, in the face of huge blue turnout during the midterms, with a scared and angry and largely unified Democratic Party which is raising money at a much faster clip on the heels of a 16 Presidential election taught everyone what can happen when you assume too much.

It’s an uphill battle for Trump. But for the 40,000th time, which you and I know of course, his diehard supporters are in a cult. There is NOTHING he can do to make them turn on him. Logic won’t work. Facts won’t work. Nothing will work. So it’s all about blue turnout in swing states. That’s it. That’s everything. Nothing’s changed since what we already knew two years ago.
 
The electoral map showed the same rural v urban dynamic last election. And I see the same things when I travel to far Northern California and eastern Oregon. This time Trump has to run on his own track record, not against Hillary Clinton, in the face of huge blue turnout during the midterms, with a scared and angry and largely unified Democratic Party which is raising money at a much faster clip on the heels of a 16 Presidential election taught everyone what can happen when you assume too much.

It’s an uphill battle for Trump. But for the 40,000th time, which you and I know of course, his diehard supporters are in a cult. There is NOTHING he can do to make them turn on him. Logic won’t work. Facts won’t work. Nothing will work. So it’s all about blue turnout in swing states. That’s it. That’s everything. Nothing’s changed since what we already knew two years ago.
Yeah, I wasn’t speaking to anything changing about what needs to happen — we all know it comes down to getting people out to vote. You, I, and many others have been shouting that from our soapboxes for some time.

Rather, I was speaking to how much more militant Trumpers have become in their support and the implications of that on the public discourse and general political behaviour, especially in “purple” states. I have seen it first hand here.

And how that will play out before, during, and after the ‘election’, as it is going to take much longer to tabulate than most previous president elections (even if Trump declares victory the day after the election, which I am convinced he will).

The question I was raising was whether Trumpers will generally act aggressively (even illegally) to intimidate Biden voters, disrupt polling station operations (for those that do go to vote in person), and/or try to aid in the manipulation of mail-in voting from various roles they hold, all in the name of El Presidente and the continuation of his god-bestowed, righteous reign.

That would be different to the last election cycle and could have major implications for both the election and the months to come after.
 
Hillary Clinton was a known, and relatively disliked, candidate. Trump was a well-known celebrity and threatened exactly what he has done...shake up DC...just not in the way people are seeing!

The big differences in 2016 that are NOT in place this time are:

1) A woman at the top of the ticket
2) A hated woman at the top of the ticket
3) Trump is most definitely not a “Fuck it! Let’s give him a chance! How bad could it be?!” candidate in 2020.
4) Jill Stein. Don’t underestimate her siphoning off of the female vote and the “alternative to two bad choices” votes. She hurt Clinton.

Regardless, in an effort to keeping it real, here’s the REALITY of the 2016 election results:


Trump did NOT win big. He scraped a victory in a few KEY states with reasonably large numbers of electoral votes, which greatly exaggerates the perception of victory...which, of course, he further exaggerates!

In a “democratic national vote, Trump lost by about 3 MILLION votes. The problem is that many of those “extra 3M votes” occurred in large states where she simply won in such large numbers it didn’t get a similar bump in electoral votes.

So, on an Electoral College basis, look at the Delegate Counts and how many votes actually tipped the scales.

Official 2016 Result
Trump 304 vs Clinton 227

That looks big, but it came down to THREE STATES: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin

MI: 16 Delegates, difference in the vote: 10,704; 0.22%

PA: 20 Delegates, difference in the vote: 44,292; 0.72%

WI: 10 Delegates, difference in the vote: 22,748; 0.76%

Total difference in Delegates: 46

Total difference in the votes: 77,744

Total NATIONAL votes cast: 136,669,237

Total NATIONAL % Diff: 0.056%

Simply switch HALF+1 of those votes from Trump to Clinton, and you see that changing the following number of votes in each state changes the “winner take all” EC votes from Trump to Clinton:

MI: 5,352 votes

PA: 22,147 votes

WI: 11,375 votes

===============
Ttl: 38,874 votes
===============

Therefore, 38,874 KEY VOTES in three key states changed the entire trajectory of the world.

Switching those 38,874 votes from Trump to Clinton would have changed the results from...
TRUMP 304 - CLINTON 227

To...
TRUMP 258 - CLINTON 273.

With 270 Delegates being the magic number needed to be President!

So, are there about 40,000 people in those 3 states that have seen enough of Trump that they will vote for Biden?

BYEDON/HARRIS 2020
 
Hillary Clinton was a known, and relatively disliked, candidate. Trump was a well-known celebrity and threatened exactly what he has done...shake up DC...just not in the way people are seeing!

The big differences in 2016 that are NOT in place this time are:

1) A woman at the top of the ticket
2) A hated woman at the top of the ticket
3) Trump is most definitely not a “Fuck it! Let’s give him a chance! How bad could it be?!” candidate in 2020.
4) Jill Stein. Don’t underestimate her siphoning off of the female vote and the “alternative to two bad choices” votes. She hurt Clinton.

Regardless, in an effort to keeping it real, here’s the REALITY of the 2016 election results:


Trump did NOT win big. He scraped a victory in a few KEY states with reasonably large numbers of electoral votes, which greatly exaggerates the perception of victory...which, of course, he further exaggerates!

In a “democratic national vote, Trump lost by about 3 MILLION votes. The problem is that many of those “extra 3M votes” occurred in large states where she simply won in such large numbers it didn’t get a similar bump in electoral votes.

So, on an Electoral College basis, look at the Delegate Counts and how many votes actually tipped the scales.

Official 2016 Result
Trump 304 vs Clinton 227

That looks big, but it came down to THREE STATES: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin

MI: 16 Delegates, difference in the vote: 10,704; 0.22%

PA: 20 Delegates, difference in the vote: 44,292; 0.72%

WI: 10 Delegates, difference in the vote: 22,748; 0.76%

Total difference in Delegates: 46

Total difference in the votes: 77,744

Total NATIONAL votes cast: 136,669,237

Total NATIONAL % Diff: 0.056%

Simply switch HALF+1 of those votes from Trump to Clinton, and you see that changing the following number of votes in each state changes the “winner take all” EC votes from Trump to Clinton:

MI: 5,352 votes

PA: 22,147 votes

WI: 11,375 votes

===============
Ttl: 38,874 votes
===============

Therefore, 38,874 KEY VOTES in three key states changed the entire trajectory of the world.

Switching those 38,874 votes from Trump to Clinton would have changed the results from...
TRUMP 304 - CLINTON 227

To...
TRUMP 258 - CLINTON 273.

With 270 Delegates being the magic number needed to be President!

So, are there about 40,000 people in those 3 states that have seen enough of Trump that they will vote for Biden?

BYEDON/HARRIS 2020
Of course there are.
The real question is are there enough votes that will switch in those states to counter the industrial scale cheating that we all know is happening?
 
Of course there are.
The real question is are there enough votes that will switch in those states to counter the industrial scale cheating that we all know is happening?
There is no denying that the Trump campaign colluded with Russia to help secure their 2016 victory, and there is no denying that Russia are still applying those influences in Trumps favour in this campaign.

Add to that the voter fraud and disruption to postal service, and it is entirely possible that Trump could win this election. If he does it will go down as one of the most corrupt election victories in history, not just in the USA, but worldwide..
 
Ive said consistently for the last 2 years I think he will be re-elected. Dont underestimate how stupid they are over there away from the sensible cities

I was gonna have a few quid on him at Evens in Decemeber, I thought it was buying money. But given the deaths, his behaviour etc I cannot see anyone in their right-mind voting for him
 
Birther III, the Insanity Returns!

For some reason, the orange crook has claimed in Scranton, PA, that Biden wasn't born in Scranton, PA, because his family moved out when he was youngish (Trump claims 8-10, but Biden's biography says 13, but who wants details?).

Surely not even cretins will be taken in that a family moving should be held against a child? Or did it just sound better in Tump's head?
 
There’s no shortage of Americans not in their right mind.
I've said it before on this thread, but I know a fair few US DoD personnel who you would consider to be pretty clever people academically that voted for Trump and will vote for him again. It's almost as if they are conditioned into voting Republican without question, and that's something they've picked up from an early age.

It's almost cult-like.
 
I was gonna have a few quid on him at Evens in Decemeber, I thought it was buying money. But given the deaths, his behaviour etc I cannot see anyone in their right-mind voting for him
His hard core support will vote for him just to save themselves the shame and embarrassment of admitting they were monumentally stupid last time. He will pull a stunt on election week that will be just enough to let themselves be convinced
 
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