Lionel Messi | Joins Inter Miami (pg4111)

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Sky bet has him staying at Barca at 2/7 or they think there is a 77% chance he will stay,
they have him joining us at 5/2 or 28.6% chance of joining us, so don't think the odds are that bad, but a few big bets can change that

I think its worth a punt on those odds. I see it as slightly better than 50:50 we get him. Something like a 60% chance. This transfer is a legal dispute like no other. Footballers contracts are normally clear cut. There is a lot of confusion around release clauses as years back they were worded very loosely to the point they had practically no effect (or were even non existent and just a verbal agreement). The wording was lose it was almost like a clause agreeing that they would talk about it - well you dont need to put that in a contract. But in recent years they are much clearer and therefore in the players favour - you can always agree to do something outside of any release clause so the figure quoted does not preclude a sale for less (or even more if the wording is not binding). So I think he has a water tight get out clause (number 24 in his contract).

What makes this different is the extension of the season - there is no doubt that clause 24 is there and it states a date at which point he has to hand in written notification. But at this point the club was still in season and the intention of the date was that it would be post season. So most impartial lawyers would tell you Messi gets this decision in court and he can go for free.

And we don't know what the league and club did with regard to extending the season and contracts - they must have done something with regard to out of contract players and anything in writing would highly likely add to the messi case that he would already likely win.

So this all boils down to how hard does Messi want to push a case that would be him v's Barca. Well he thought pretty hard about that before he issued his letter and leaked a copy and we know what he wants. However a deal is easier all around, Barca are likely to want one but the fees will be way off, Messi thinks he can walk for free - Barca thing he is worth multiple millions. So the current talks are around the Messi camp wanting to agree a deal and Barca wanting to stay or go for a big number. If they break down without an agreement then it goes to a shit or bust court case or Messi just gives up and goes back to training.
 
Why are you laughing at the press for saying he’s staying and by the end of your post it sounds like you believe them?

because the press are so predictable & they know nothing. I would say the fact no information has been released it’s still 60/40 in our favour. The fact we still have silence is due to legal matters in my opinion
 
See the other thread... Very positive update from Tolmie, along with messi camp indicating statement soon
 
tbf nothing sad about it. If he comes here then great. Otherwise we move on.

Not sad for city I just think for the greatest player to be towards the end of their career to be in dispute with a club like Barcelona is sad. The fans must be gutted
 
Out of interest, how many on here that would be delighted if he came would be as delighted if it's announced in January he's coming on a Bosman in 2021?

Same levels of excitement or lowered? Or no interest at all if he's a year older?
Much much less. A year would quite possibly cut his time at the pinnacle by half or a third.
 
Why give a statement if he's not leaving. Otherwise he can just say a sorry to the fans and the club that he didn't come for training and stuff in his social media or something.
 
Why respond with a statement, my gut feeling says he’s coming to City

If his legal team are preparing a statement then that’s great news for us I agree. It will be a statement of fact rather than emotion which to me says he’s leaving Barca. Too big for messi or his dad to say anything. They will speak when he signs for us hopefully
 
Guys prepare yourself for an announcement very soon!!!!
And if it doesn’t happen.....well I’ll just post this again tomorrow, then the day after etc
Have I passed the test? Can I set up an account on Twitter purporting to know something
Or do I need to tell you Jorge messi has a Bombay badboy pot noodle for his lunch and is meeting his lawyers!
 
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