Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Scotland data:

1 death - was 0 last week

270 cases - was 283 last week

1.2% positivity - was 0.9% last week

63 in hospital - down 2 on yesterday - was 68 last week

4 ventilated icu -down 2 on yesterday - was 11 last week


Cases still a little high but hospital data much better.

The right way round we want these things.
 
Healdplace said:
Anyway to cheer folk up

England hospital deaths 9 with 2 from NW.
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That is encouraging.

I'll be equally encouraged to see the hospitalisation figures still coming down, however slowly.

I'd also be interested to see some more up-to-date hospital data for Bolton; the most recent numbers on gov.uk shows ZERO daily admissions to Bolton's NHS Trust, and a 7 day average of ONE admission (and zero deaths).

Daily summary | Central Bolton (data.gov.uk)
 
Healdplace said:
Scotland data:

1 death - was 0 last week

270 cases - was 283 last week

1.2% positivity - was 0.9% last week

63 in hospital - down 2 on yesterday - was 68 last week

4 ventilated icu -down 2 on yesterday - was 11 last week


Cases still a little high but hospital data much better.

The right way round we want these things.
Click to expand...

Great to see the hospital figures going the right way, long may it continue. Just a little caveat to the daily infection IIRC last Thursday's number included catch up figures from missing cases from the artificially low 85 the previous day...so today's 270 might still represent a week on week rise in actual terms. Hard to tell by how much though.
 
roubaixtuesday said:
Yes. I think that would be better than re-imposing restrictions or delaying their lifting.

Of course, that's just a personal opinion.

What we would be trying to avoid is a further wave; second doses do little to prevent general transmission, but first doses make a massive difference.
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From 60% reduction in transmission to 94% reduction is hardly “little”
 
Northern Ireland data:

1 death - was 0 last week

99 cases - was 102 last week

3.9% positivity - was 4.9% last week

6 care home outbreaks - was 6 yesterday and 5 last week

7 day rolling cases total 658 - was 644 yesterday & 626 last week

46 patients - down 4 on yesterday - was 67 last week

3 ventilated - down 1 on yesterday - was 5 last week.

Yet more good hospital numbers.

If these keep going the right way at these very low numbers in all four nations the cases are not really a big concern.

As for the ages of those 658 cases:

32.2% aged 0 - 19

37.8% aged 20 - 39

24.4% aged 40 - 59

4.4 % aged 60 - 79

1.2% aged 80 PLUS


Which shows that only 5.6% of over 60s are catching it and 70% of under 40s are.

This is the post vaccination pattern pretty much everywhere and is why cases are not translating into a change in the fall of hospital numbers or deaths.
 
Hospital numbers ARE still falling in all home nations as my nightly report shows. It seems a little slower as some are going in to be assessed. But the icu numbers and death numbers are still falling.

As for Bolton - even in the NW as per the data I posted last night the region has fallen every single day in the past week of the Bolton outbreak in terms of patient numbers and is the only England region to do so. Tiny falls most days but no rises even of 1 so far.

Ventilators have fallen over that week as well and are now at just 158 patients and 14 on ventilators.
A week ago that NW number was 178 patients and 24 ventilators

You would expect a lag from infection to hospital but as yet Bolton does not seem to be showing up in the data outside case numbers. There has not been a day in the past couple of weeks now in which admissions in England with Covid have been above 100.
 
Wow. I'm surprised that the 50-55 age group is only 83%. If you look at the stats from earlier in the pandemic, this is the age range where serious cases bump up significantly. A lot of people clearly have a lot of faith in their own superpowers!
 
RobMCFC said:
Wow. I'm surprised that the 50-55 age group is only 83%. If you look at the stats from earlier in the pandemic, this is the age range where serious cases bump up significantly. A lot of people clearly have a lot of faith in their own superpowers!
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Probably why 4 of todays 9 England hospital deaths were in the 40 - 59s. Someone should post that kind of number saying you think you are immune? 45% of those who died today were in YOUR age range.

Might focus a few minds of waverers.
 
RobMCFC said:
Wow. I'm surprised that the 50-55 age group is only 83%. If you look at the stats from earlier in the pandemic, this is the age range where serious cases bump up significantly. A lot of people clearly have a lot of faith in their own superpowers!
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i want my second jab asap im mid 40s
 
Healdplace said:
Probably why 4 of todays 9 England hospital deaths were in the 40 - 59s. Someone should post that kind of number saying you think you are immune? 45% of those who died today were in YOUR age range.

Might focus a few minds of waverers.
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probably members of Ian browns cult
 
Hopefully this surge vaccinating is done carefully and not including people who are or have recently tested positive, we know the pitfalls of that so rushing vaccines into people where the variant is prominent has to be done carefully.
 
PannickAtTheDisco said:
Hopefully this surge vaccinating is done carefully and not including people who are or have recently tested positive, we know the pitfalls of that so rushing vaccines into people where the variant is prominent has to be done carefully.
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Main issue with surge vaccinations like this is the 2/3 week lead time it takes for the vaccines to kick in. probably 2/3 weeks to vaccinate and 2/3 weeks on top before the vaccine kicks in.

apparently France did have some success with it though.
 
grunge said:
Main issue with surge vaccinations like this is the 2/3 week lead time it takes for the vaccines to kick in. probably 2/3 weeks to vaccinate and 2/3 weeks on top before the vaccine kicks in.

apparently France did have some success with it though.
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we are going to have a big 3rd wave from this week on and the vaccines will be tested to the max
the 21st of june open the flood gates is not going to happen because next week and the week after cases will be high sadly the deaths will be up again could even be in tripple numbers each day
 
ancoats said:
we are going to have a big 3rd wave from this week on and the vaccines will be tested to the max
the 21st of june open the flood gates is not going to happen because next week and the week after cases will be high sadly the deaths will be up again could even be in tripple numbers each day
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I think a 3rd wave is fully expected to be honest. there is no way it couldn't happen with easing of lockdowns. I can see it being a fraction of the size of the 2nd wave though.

Although the India variant does seem to be spreading like Wildfire in Bolton right now and with Eid today its going to be interesting over the next week or so to see how this spreads. even though there is no evidence it has escaped immunity its looking like it may breakthrough a little more.

Edit: removed t from cant. added it by mistake and totally reversed my point :)
 
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ancoats said:
we are going to have a big 3rd wave from this week on and the vaccines will be tested to the max
the 21st of june open the flood gates is not going to happen because next week and the week after cases will be high sadly the deaths will be up again could even be in tripple numbers each day
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Why? Opening schools didn’t affect cases. Outdoor mixing didn’t affect cases. Opening outdoor hospitality and non essential retail didn’t affect cases. Now we have indoor hospitality opening and many tens of millions more vaccinated including virtually all over 50’s and all vulnerable. Why the statement deaths could be up in triple numbers again? Hasn’t happened in Israel.
 
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