Coronavirus (2021) thread

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ZOE APP NEWS

TODAY'S UPDATE



LESS GOOD NEWS TODAY

Predicted cases ARE UP for first day in a week. Only slightly

Today FROM 46, 607 TO 46, 613 TODAY - A rise of just 6 - but it was falling by increasing numbers daily all week.

It WAS 52, 049 last Monday.


Ongoing symptomatic cases did still FALL for eighth day running.

But by a smaller number


FROM 706, 485 TO 700, 377 TODAY - A fall of 6108 following falls of 9353, 7567, 6297 and 1720 in previous days.

IT WAS 738, 359 last Monday.

You would expect a lag to the change in ongoing cases after a rise or fall in daily case numbers.


FIRST HINTS PERHAPS OF THE UPTICK CAUSED BY ENGLAND SCHOOL RETURNS?
 
ZOE APP DATA

TODAYS DATA

REGIONS:-




North West RISES for the first time in a while.

FROM 690 / 907 TO 729 / 952 - higher than any of the past 4 days

NW STILL FIFTH of the 12 regions.


Behind Scotland (still TOP) and Wales (second) - with Scotland out of the HIGHEST WATCH ZONE

North East third DOWN on 685 / 1072 FROM 693 / 1084.

Yorkshire and Humber are in fourth.

East Midlands has fallen into the lowest watch zone.

DOWN 613 / 851 FROM TO 642 /883.

South West (which has been plummeting day by day in the real cases all week - as the regional data each evening on here shows- is now the LOWEST region ahead of London

DOWN on 473 / 625 FROM 481 / 633

SOUTH WEST HAS BY FAR FALLEN THE MOST IN THE REAL CASES TOO



West Midlands though is UP on 525 / 750 FROM 510 / 730, South East (DOWN to 544 / 643 FROM 552 / 671) and East (UP to 523 / 684 FROM 514 / 673).


Scotland TOP is DOWN again on 817 / 1090 FROM 849 / 1124


WALES in second is DOWN on 752 / 1069 FROM 777 / 1098


Yorkshire third ahead of North West is UP on 731 / 992 FROM 716 / 973



N Ireland is no longer LOWEST watch zone or best in UK. South West's huge recent falls - in real life as well as Zoe - has put it as the best in the UK now

N Ireland today is UP on 256 / 952 FROM 208 / 852
 
Healdplace said:
There are only 3 boroughs in the UK now in either the 1K or 2 K club and NOBODY below 1000. This time last year some rural areas in places like Devon were sub 100 let alone 1000.

Now only the Orkney Islands and the Shetlands are below 3000.

In terms of big cities

Belfast 12, 128, Birmingham 13, 303, Bristol 12, 338. Cardiff 9622, Coventry 10, 470, Derby 11, 838, Glasgow 13, 016 , Hull 13, 485, Leeds 13, 534, Liverpool 14, 861, Manchester 15, 458, Newcastle 13, 873, Nottingham 14, 033, Oxford 10, 677, Preston 14, 841, Salford 15, 158, Sheffield, 12, 097, Stoke 12, 313, Sunderland 14, 097, Swansea 10, 458, York 9950

As you can see the twin cities of Manchester and Salford are the two highest in the UK.

The North West throughout the pandemic has been the epicentre.
~
Though also worth bearing in mind that Manchester and Salford have the two LOWEST vaccination rates in the 10 GM boroughs.
Click to expand...
Often the case with things like this being the two most deprived districts.
 
Healdplace said:
Though also worth bearing in mind that Manchester and Salford have the two LOWEST vaccination rates in the 10 GM boroughs.
Click to expand...

I think I read, though am far from certain, that some of this is due to large student populations, and vaccines being administered away from these places, but populations recorded being within them, on top of the fact that vaccination rates are generally lower in younger demographics.

Could be wrong.
 
ZOE APP DATA


TODAY


GREATER MANCHESTER:-


Bury - very surprisingly - still rising and the highest in GM . UP on 24, 646 FROM 20, 904 - one of the highest in GM in recent weeks and highest in the North West.

Tameside - surprisingly given its fall in real cases - stays in second place and is rising today - UP slightly on 16, 137 FROM 16, 073

Stockport rises again into third as real case data supports UP again on 13, 360 FROM 12,595

Salford edges DOWN and is fourth on 12, 748 FROM 12, 753

Oldham is up to fifth UP on 11, 896 FROM 9167

Manchester falls to sixth though DOWN on 10, 254 FROM 11, 759


THERE ARE NOW FOUR BOROUGHS IN THE LOWER SUB 10K WATCH ZONE

Wigan in seventh is UP on 8683 FROM 7931

Trafford is in eighth and still falling fast as real data confirms - DOWN on 7912 FROM 9542

Rochdale in ninth is UP on 5265 FROM 4709


BUT BEST IN GM IS:-

Bolton DOWN on 4761 FROM 5051







REST OF NORTH WEST


West Lancashire - the region between Bootle, Formby and Southport in west and Wigan is UP on 11, 146 FROM 10, 719


Liverpool UP on 14, 007 FROM 10, 565

also

Blackpool coast area and the Fylde is still a problem area of the North West.

In the sun and with the illuminations opening UP ON 17, 483 FROM 14, 325

Chorley is UP again too on 17, 288 FROM 13, 554

As in the Lake District on 17, 936



Cheshire East - is still low but has gone UP again but tracking well under Stockport on 9575 FROM 9471.

Still much better than Chester and Cheshire West - still one of the worst parts of the NW outside of BURY - though a bit DOWN on 17, 125 FROM 17, 437
 
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roubaixtuesday said:
I think I read, though am far from certain, that some of this is due to large student populations, and vaccines being administered away from these places, but populations recorded being within them, on top of the fact that vaccination rates are generally lower in younger demographics.

Could be wrong.
Click to expand...
They redistributed the student numbers this time last year after complaints they were not being correctly allocated - creating chaos in the numbers for a few weeks if you recall.

Manchester and Salford ended up with huge Pop Rises of over 1000 because of it.
 
Got the attached on our golf WhatsApp group last night, very sad.
 

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Are we having vaccine passports or not?
Last week we were.
At weekend we weren't.
Today they're back on the table.
Sure all will be revealed tomorrow in the press conference tomorrow.
Or not.
 
WALES DATA

TWO DAYS DATA AS USUAL - BOTH SAT & SUN

21 deaths - was 8 last week. Most in Wales in a good while

4308 cases - was 5161 last week

10% positivity - was 12% last week
 
Len Rum said:
Are we having vaccine passports or not?
Last week we were.
At weekend we weren't.
Today they're back on the table.
Sure all will be revealed tomorrow in the press conference tomorrow.
Or not.
Click to expand...

you must be gutted we now only have the 9th highest death rate in Europe and falling
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS

SOME ODD NUMBERS FROM THE NORTH WEST BUMPED UP THINGS A LOT

SATURDAY

122 WITH 28 NORTH WEST

Last week 91 with 22 NORTH WEST and Week before 85 with 10 NORTH WEST



SUNDAY

22 WITH 10 NORTH WEST

Last week 26 with 4 NORTH WEST and Week before 31 with 4 NORTH WEST


TODAY

16 WITH 0 NORTH WEST

Last week 12 with 1 NORTH WEST and Week before 20 with 1 NORTH WEST



OVER THE WEEKEND 160 WITH 38 NORTH WEST

LAST WEEK 129 WITH 27 NORTH WEST

WEEK BEFORE 136 WITH 15 NORTH WEST
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS

BY REGION:

SAT: EAST 6, LONDON 12, MIDLANDS 24, NE & YORKSHIRE 19, NORTH WEST 28, SOUTH EAST 24. SOUTH WEST 9

SUN: EAST 3, MIDLANDS 4, NORTH WEST 10, SOUTH WEST 5 others zero

MON: EAST 5, MIDLANDS 6, SOUTH WEST 5 others zero


TOTAL:- EAST 14, LONDON 12, MIDLANDS 34, NE & YORKSHIRE 19, NORTH WEST 38, SOUTH EAST 24, SOUTH WEST 19


BY AGE:- 0 - 19 (2) 20 - 39 (0), 40 - 59 (22), 60 - 79 (58) , 80 PLUS (78)

ANOTHER 2 AGED 19 OR UNDER DIED THIS WEEKEND FOR THOSE ASKING IF JABS FOR CHILDREN ARE APPROPRIATE
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS NORTH WEST TRUSTS

Something odd was happening with that high NW number on Saturday as 15 of the 28 were in Liverpool,

That is an awful lot for one day.

Over the weekend 17 of the 38 NW deaths were in Liverpool (and 1 more in Alder Hey in the city)

Others:- Lancashire 5, St Helens 4, Manchester 3, Pennine Acute 3, Southport 2 & 1 each in Bolton, Morecambe & Tameside
 
new figures from the Office for National Statistics which showed Covid deaths among people who have been fully vaccinated are rare.

Out of more than 51,000 Covid deaths in England between January and July 2021, only 256 occurred after two doses - and these were mostly people at very high risk of illness from the virus.

Julie Stanborough, from the ONS, says: "Our new analysis shows that, sadly, there have been deaths of people involving Covid-19 despite them being fully vaccinated.

"However, we've also found that the risk of a death involving Covid-19 is much lower among people who are fully vaccinated than those who are unvaccinated."
 
SCOTLAND DATA

NB:- DATA ISSUES MEAN THIS NUMBER IS LOW AND THE MISSING DATA WILL BE ADDED TOMORROW THE REPORT SAYS

0 deaths - was 0 last week - always 0 on Mondays

4241 cases - was 7065 last week

11.3% positivity - was 14.5% last week - THIS DATA ALL IMPACED BY MISSING CASES

1048 patients - up 29 on yesterday - was 771 last week

90 ventilated icu - up 2 on yesterday - was 71 last week.
 
Healdplace said:
They redistributed the student numbers this time last year after complaints they were not being correctly allocated - creating chaos in the numbers for a few weeks if you recall.

Manchester and Salford ended up with huge Pop Rises of over 1000 because of it.
Click to expand...

Yes, that was for case numbers.

I think the same may not apply to vaccinations.

Like I say, could be wrong.
 
NORTHERN IRELAND DATA

AT LEAST ZOE IS SPOT ON ABOUT HOW WELL NORTHERN IRELAND IS STILL DOING

EASILY THE BEST IN THE UK

8 deaths - was 9 last week

1199 cases - was 1764 last week

5.6% positivity - was 7.4% last week

120 CARE HOME OUTBREAKS - UP 1 SINCE FRIDAY - WAS 134 LAST WEEK

Rolling 7 day cases 10, 180 - Was 10, 475 Friday & 10, 024 last week

401 patients - was 461 Friday & 407 last week

32 ventilated - was 35 Friday & 36 last week
 
worsleyweb said:
you must be gutted we now only have the 9th highest death rate in Europe and falling
Click to expand...

This is a pretty bizarre comment.

On the facts, our death rate is currently above any comparable country in Europe, and about double the EU average.

Depending how you've counted European countries, the 8 above us are mainly the low vax rates of the likes of Romania and Bulgaria, or small population places like Bosnia. Here's recent death rates for a x section of European countries.

1631539352243.png

Why you think any of this is relevant to how well we're currently responding is mysterious. Are you suggesting Romania, Bulgaria and Bosnia is where we should set our bar for comparisons?
 
NORTHERN IRELAND SEVEN DAY CASES TOTAL BY AGE:

45.5% of the cases are 19 and Under. This just keeps going up.

This is now DOUBLE the 23.2% of the next biggest group (20 - 39)

Though 13.1% are over 60 - a number that happily has not been going up lately.

Just 2.6% of these are the most vulnerable over 80 - helped by the falls in Care Home outbreaks.
 
So with the caveats applied above:

The deaths with out of hospital England to add today are:- 45

Last week at this stage they were 39 - that became 45 on all settings later.

MONDAY IS ALWAYS LOW DUE TO LACK OF SUNDAY REGISTRATIONS
 
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