Coronavirus (2021) thread

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It happened to me a couple of weeks ago,they stopped boosters in Timperley so I had to go to the Etihad.
Can only speak for myself (obviously) but I live in Oldham and for my first 2 jabs it was Etihad that was the nearest, so I went there.
Just booked my booster today and it's a pharmacy round the corner from me.
 
Can only speak for myself (obviously) but I live in Oldham and for my first 2 jabs it was Etihad that was the nearest, so I went there.
Just booked my booster today and it's a pharmacy round the corner from me.
Its partly to do with the cold temperatures needed to store Pfizer. I had to travel miles to get to my booster last month - a one hour bus trip and 20 minute walk home after - for that reason. Whereas I had my AZ jab at the health centre a 5 minute walk away - that was expensively refitted during the pandemic but NOT to the point of having a cold enough freezer to do the jabs other than ones such as AZ that do not need a deep freeze.
 
Briefing to the South African Parliament’s Health Committee:


‘Dr Richard Lessells, an infectious diseases specialist at the University of KwaZulu-Natal, is part of the delegation briefing the committee.

Lessells has told the committee epidemiological data suggest a sustained increase in Covid-19 incidence initially across Gauteng and now across most provinces.

“New variant detected in multiple samples from multiple locations, and PCR signal suggests already widespread across the country.

"Mutation profile and epidemiological picture suggest Omicron is able to get around some of our immune protection (to cause infection), but the protection against severe disease and death from vaccines should be less affected.

"Vaccination remains the critical tool to prevent severe disease and death, and public health and social measures remain critical to slow the spread,” he said in his presentation.

Lessells said while predictions about the properties of this variant can be made based on the genetic mutations, more work is needed to understand it fully.’
 
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Todays big rise in cases in England is focused on the south.

A few weeks ago these large regions were evenly scoring around 4000 cases a day. Or if anything the southern ones even lower.

Today North West has 3707, East 4441, South West 5284, London 5668 & South East 9478

A big shift in the focus of the pandemic.

And SE is triple the numbers in the NW.
 
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Todays big rise in cases in England is focused on the south.

A few weeks ago these large regions were evenly scoring around 4000 cases a day. Or if anything the southern ones even lower.

Today North West has 3707, East 4441, South West 5284, London 5668 & South East 9478

A big shift in the focus of the pandemic.

And SE is triple the numbers in the NW.
Each earlier "wave" started there too, didn't it?
 
Todays big rise in cases in England is focused on the south.

A few weeks ago these large regions were evenly scoring around 4000 cases a day. Or if anything the southern ones even lower.

Today North West has 3707, East 4441, South West 5284, London 5668 & South East 9478

A big shift in the focus of the pandemic.

And SE is triple the numbers in the NW.
The Omicron wave has to start somewhere. These numbers at the moment won’t be that relevant once it kicks in.
 
I wonder how many people don’t bother getting tested if feeling a bit ropey. 10 day isolation for some people in Dec would be crippling financially if no wages. Are the government still paying out for people in this position?
 
Yeah, it’s all Delta barring 25ish cases of omicron.

If omicron is more infectious, the numbers will skyrocket soon.
These would appear to be the recent figures for South Africa, with the overwhelming majority of cases in Gauteng.

Date. Cases. Positivity
24/11 1,275 3.6%
25/11 2,465 6.5%
26/11 2,828 9.1%
27/11 3,220 9.2%
28/11 2,858 9.8%
29/11 2,273 10.7%
30/11 4,373 10.2%
1 /12 8,561 16.5%

I think I read that the first case so far has been dated to November 8th.
 
These would appear to be the recent figures for South Africa, with the overwhelming majority of cases in Gauteng.

Date. Cases. Positivity
24/11 1,275 3.6%
25/11 2,465 6.5%
26/11 2,828 9.1%
27/11 3,220 9.2%
28/11 2,858 9.8%
29/11 2,273 10.7%
30/11 4,373 10.2%
1 /12 8,561 16.5%

I think I read that the first case so far has been dated to November 8th.
The final 3 days are concerning.
 
The Omicron wave has to start somewhere. These numbers at the moment won’t be that relevant once it kicks in.

I think its unlikley we will get a big Omicron wave which will result in high hospitalisation numbers and deaths. I suspect we already have a very high level of natural imunity across the UK through opening up sooner than most and having a good vaccination rate which is why we havent experienced the rapid rise of delta like across the continent. Plus if the vaccines work against Omincron then the natural imunity will work aswell.
 
I think its unlikley we will get a big Omicron wave which will result in high hospitalisation numbers and deaths. I suspect we already have a very high level of natural imunity across the UK through opening up sooner than most and having a good vaccination rate which is why we havent experienced the rapid rise of delta like across the continent. Plus if the vaccines work against Omincron then the natural imunity will work aswell.
Hope so, I didn’t mention hospitalisations as none of us know how it will pan out.

Let’s hope our level of natural immunity does restrict what omicron can do.
 
This England wave is obviously Delta still and it started in the North West in East Lancashire really in April when Bolton went into special measures and NW cases rose after that. The southern take off has been more recent alongside the NW decline - though the odd area has spiked and then fallen in between as local outbreaks will always occur.

Last Winter there was a small wave that really started in the NW driven by universiities if I recall.A new variant (the Kent one as it was then called) arrived in the south before Christmas much like now. And the same areas as now were sky high then and NW got off relativey lightly due to the autumn outbreak suppressing it a bit I assume. Other than Merseyside that were hit badly as the autumn wave had focused on the areas in the region not given special testing as Liverpool was. It helped them in the autumn but then they caught up fast in January.

Interesting that the news just now mentioned they think there are Omicron cases in East Lancashire - where the locations with the highest Pop Scores across the entire pandemic are located (Blackburn and Burnley) and where Delta seems to have spread from. Think they had low vaccination numbers and Zoe neber reports this key area at all as they cannot get enough people willing to use the app there.
 
As I think you're saying, these aren't omicron. It would have already shown up in genomic testing. This is just delta doing its thing.
Every PCR test would show the S Gene drop-out in test sample analytics. You don't even have to do the full genome sampling that they do on 5% of +ve PCR tests.

They aren't showing it.
Definitely Delta.
 
These would appear to be the recent figures for South Africa, with the overwhelming majority of cases in Gauteng.

Date. Cases. Positivity
24/11 1,275 3.6%
25/11 2,465 6.5%
26/11 2,828 9.1%
27/11 3,220 9.2%
28/11 2,858 9.8%
29/11 2,273 10.7%
30/11 4,373 10.2%
1 /12 8,561 16.5%

I think I read that the first case so far has been dated to November 8th.
I read on Sky that hospital admissions are just starting to increase there too so a bit of a concern. Be interesting to see how those figures look in a week or so. They have a much younger population than us too apparently so while some medical people are saying it’s mild, it may be down to that more than the virus itself not being too harmful. It’s too early to tell I think. Fingers crossed it is mild.
 
I read on Sky that hospital admissions are just starting to increase there too so a bit of a concern. Be interesting to see how those figures look in a week or so. They have a much younger population than us too apparently so while some medical people are saying it’s mild, it may be down to that more than the virus itself not being too harmful. It’s too early to tell I think. Fingers crossed it is mild.
Here’s hoping. There were 135 on December 1st so we’ll soon know.
 
People may recall that I posted on here previously about a young lady who lives on our street who has a background in nursing and had been working as an physiotherapist who went back to nursing at the start of the first lockdown and has worked on Covid wards. She was always a bubbly seemingly happy go lucky vivacious girl who used to go for runs etc in her downtime. My Mrs saw her at weekend - she was out for a walk and told my wife she was drained - my wife said she looked grey and was as she put it "dead eyed" - the on going effects of this will be far reaching
 
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