@FogBlueInSanFran
My remarks about the profound effect a felony conviction might have on Trump is based on reporting from Brian Tyler Cohen, MSNBC and other non-MAGA news outlets. If I'm correctly recalling - exit polls of Republican caucus voters were asked whether or not they'd vote for Trump if he were convicted of a felony, and surprisingly many of them said that they would not. If the polls are true, there's a rather large erosion of support for Trump among Republicans if he's convicted of a felony. I agree though that the roughly 30% or so of die-hard MAGA Republicans aren't going to change their mind over this.
That said, the only criminal trial that looks like it might conclude prior to the election is the hush money case in New York.
It could still happen — but the four prosecutions of Trump have been beset by delays and challenges.
www.vox.com
The hush money case is the least consequential and I doubt if the polling I cited above captured the possibility that Trump's felony conviction was only in the hush money case.
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@SWP's back
Polls do seem to be narrowing. However, the most recent polls I could find seem to indicate that Trump is still ahead although a few show Biden leading by the narrowest of margins.
(CNN) — With presidential primaries underway and a 2020 general election rematch seemingly the most likely outcome, a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS shows former President Donald Trump narrowly ahead of President Joe Biden in what’s shaping up to be a close contest nationally.
www.wral.com
ABC News is your trusted source on political news stories and videos. Get the latest coverage and analysis on everything from the Trump presidency, Senate, House and Supreme Court.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com
It's heartening to see that the electorate is beginning to shift towards Biden.
However, bettors still seem unmoved - heavily favoring Trump.