Far be it from me to rain on anybody’s parade.
But I’m going to.
We’ve just had a stonking victory on APT1, and the dishonest spin from the PL when the original judgment came out has been shown up for the horseshit it always was.
BUT. Winning APT1 is a very different thing to winning on APT2. This is why.
Regular readers of this thread will have come across the phrase “blue pencil” test. What this basically means is, if 95% of a contract is fine, but 5% is unlawful, can you just cross out the 5% as if with a blue pencil, and will the rest make perfect sense without - and here comes the key bit - changing anything else. If you can’t, the whole thing is unlawful.
Let me give two examples. First, the shareholder loans exemption. That was a specific add-on, so if you took that away, the rest still made sense. Second, the rule changes made it easier to prove that a transaction was above market value, so the rule changed from “another party could have paid the same amount” to “another party would have paid the same amount.” That change was ruled unlawful.
The problem is, you can’t just take out the bit that is unlawful. Take the word “would” out, and the sentence stops making sense. (Try it.) Why can’t you just go back to the old rules? Because - and this is crucial - the blue paper test only allows you to take things out. You cannot add things in, even where what remains makes no sense.
So there was always a good chance that once certain parts of the APT rules were judged illegal, the rest would follow.
Now, onto the less comfortable part. The November 24 rules are NOT going to be subject to the same blue pencil test. The November 24 rules were a fresh “start again” set of rules which were voted on and approved by the PL membership.
What we know from the October judgment is that (a) the panel - and don’t forget it will be the same one - basically accepted that it was legitimate for the PL to move away from the old related party rules to the new, wider, associated party test and (B) the APT rules as originally introduced included far more safeguards and checks and balances to ensure a fair balance was struck between sponsors who had their own reasons for wanting to pay a sum that might be seen as over the odds and others who are basically taking the piss.
What we know about the November rules is that the PL kept the bits that weren’t unlawful and replaced the bits that were.
So, on the face of it, the PL have finally got their act together. They are not promulgating rules which are obviously unlawful. They are not trying to add words in when they can only take them out. They put the new rules before the league and they got approved.
For all of these reasons, APT2 is simply not going to be a slam dunk win for City. I don’t know what further arguments the Club will make, and those arguments may succeed. What I’m pretty confident about is that APT2 will be a different fight to APT1, and just because we’ve just given them a fucking good hiding this time, it doesn’t mean we will do so next time.
Finally, I’m on page 2001 at the point of writing this and the thread is around 50 pages ahead already. Sorry if anyone else has already made these points