I think Bayern are over a barrel. They will have have to pay over the odds for him this year due to our interest in him. Can they afford to pay what we are offering? No chance Bayer will let him leave for less than what we are prepared to pay.
I don't think Bayern can afford to wait for him to run down his contract. If he is prepared to see out his contract, I reckon Madrid will swoop. He can sign a pre contract agreement in January, pocket a shedload of money and get to play under Alonso.
For all their bluster, Munich don't have the greatest hand.