SkyBlueFlux
Well-Known Member
A bit of back of envelope maths...
If:
Arsenal manage to prevent Newcastle winning here
We manage to beat Bournemouth on Tuesday (feels far from certain at the moment but for the sake of argument)
That means to not qualify, all four games on the final day would need to go perfectly against us, which based on current odds has only about a ~3% chance of happening.
So feels like it's really all down to the Bournemouth game now. As long as we win that, even if we lose on the last day, there's still a very good chance we get bailed out elsewhere (most likely by Forest). As we know, last days rarely go to form.
If:
Arsenal manage to prevent Newcastle winning here
We manage to beat Bournemouth on Tuesday (feels far from certain at the moment but for the sake of argument)
That means to not qualify, all four games on the final day would need to go perfectly against us, which based on current odds has only about a ~3% chance of happening.
So feels like it's really all down to the Bournemouth game now. As long as we win that, even if we lose on the last day, there's still a very good chance we get bailed out elsewhere (most likely by Forest). As we know, last days rarely go to form.