This is my first post here, so hello everyone. I’d like to share a few observations on this subject, given that I’ve looked into it a bit.
Turkish clubs have often been able to offer wages higher than even what you’d see in the Premier League, mainly due to the government providing big tax advantages. However, this has never really been the case with transfer fees. In recent years, high inflation has distorted the exchange rate in Turkey. While that’s made the general population poorer, it’s also led to a few ultra-wealthy individuals investing heavily in football.
Even so, UEFA’s financial regulations mean Turkish clubs can’t just spend freely on fees. Gala, for example, paid €75m for Osimhen, but that was essentially their only major signing this summer. They appear to have reached their spending limit. From what I’ve followed, they’ve been trying to raise funds through player sales over the last week in order to create room for moves like Ederson. In my view, it’s unlikely they have the capacity to pay another transfer fee in the £20m+ range.
If Donnarumma’s arrival depends on Ederson leaving, then Gala are unlikely to raise their transfer bid for Ederson any further. Their current offer could simply stay on the table until the Premier League window shuts. If City turn it down, Gala would then shift their focus to Donnarumma, using the financial room to offer him a very high salary instead. In other words, they can still compete on wages, but they are not in a position to push transfer fees any higher.
Hopefully I’ve managed to outline the equation correctly.