Predictions on the referendum

Well structured comment but absolutely hilarious.
I agree, it made me laugh, especially this bit .......... If it goes to Leave I can see the first triumphalist
attacks on minorities by outfits like the EDL and Britain First .... I am willing to bet $10,000 that does not happen
 
Was it four or five years ago when the exchange rate was pretty much 1 for 1 Sterling against the Euro!

winter 2008 when our markets crashed? genrerally we are strong against the euro, but the euro is one currency, we are a lot weaker against many including the dollar tham pre 2008 and have dropped even more since this nonsense started, there is nowt to indicate it will suddenly improve with an exit
 
winter 2008 when our markets crashed? genrerally we are strong against the euro, but the euro is one currency, we are a lot weaker against many including the dollar tham pre 2008 and have dropped even more since this nonsense started, there is nowt to indicate it will suddenly improve with an exit

When I thought about it, it sort of came back to me as there was a Labour government
Someone had a conspiracy theory that the Government was deliberately driving the pound down to 1 for 1 so we would join the Eurozone
I don't think at this moment we are weaker against the Euro than we were then.
I bought Euros for this year's holiday to spread the cost. Last November at €1.36 and again a couple of weeks ago at €1.29 and it seems like I made the right decision as it has dropped since, but not to extreme levels
 
Short term the pound will rise a little - 5% or so straight after the referendum regardless of the result.

Medium term the euro is totally fooked, hence the desperation to take Britain's money away to bail in to the europot.
 
When I thought about it, it sort of came back to me as there was a Labour government
Someone had a conspiracy theory that the Government was deliberately driving the pound down to 1 for 1 so we would join the Eurozone
I don't think at this moment we are weaker against the Euro than we were then.
I bought Euros for this year's holiday to spread the cost. Last November at €1.36 and again a couple of weeks ago at €1.29 and it seems like I made the right decision as it has dropped since, but not to extreme levels
€1.18-€1.20 when I went Lisbon in January, tbf it's been up and down and both our and euro zones economies are still in recovery so it's eevning itself out more witht he pound slightly stronger. Thing is I am more concerned about the pound globally, as I travel further afield most years and the £ has has dropped quite a bit in some places and not recovered, I just worry the uncertainty of what happens next if we leave will not help that.
 
€1.18-€1.20 when I went Lisbon in January, tbf it's been up and down and both our and euro zones economies are still in recovery so it's eevning itself out more witht he pound slightly stronger. Thing is I am more concerned about the pound globally, as I travel further afield most years and the £ has has dropped quite a bit in some places and not recovered, I just worry the uncertainty of what happens next if we leave will not help that.

It always has
First time I visited the US six years ago it was about $1.70
Three years later $1.40
and when I visited two years ago $1.65

I always remember back in the late 1970's and the Chief exec of some major British company (might have been British Leyland) in an interview saying bring the pound down to the two dollar mark to make our exports more competitive
 
It always has
First time I visited the US six years ago it was about $1.70
Three years later $1.40
and when I visited two years ago $1.65

I always remember back in the late 1970's and the Chief exec of some major British company (might have been British Leyland) in an interview saying bring the pound down to the two dollar mark to make our exports more competitive

Oh aye, I am looking at it having a better rate for travel money for myself, but I know the strong pound can be a bane to our export market.

My only other worry with an exit is whats happening in poland and austria with the neo nazi party's getting stronger and frances far right also. If we go and it encourages other to think the same I would dread to see what a divided europe is like as no one seems to hide their dislike of some other nations, the EU seems to keep them behaving (us included)
 
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Short term the pound will rise a little - 5% or so straight after the referendum regardless of the result.
The pound will go down the toilet if god forbid the Brexiters should win. THE TOILET.

Edit: no doubt this is just regarded as scaremongering and will be ignored, so I don't know why I bother.
 
Short term the pound will rise a little - 5% or so straight after the referendum regardless of the result.

Medium term the euro is totally fooked, hence the desperation to take Britain's money away to bail in to the europot.

Think it will go down by about 10% at least on the euro on confirmation of a leave result, but I would expect it to make that ground back up in the subsequent 3 months or so as attention turns to the euro zone especially if another country makes overtures about having their own ref...
 

Not remotely surprised. I've yet to meet a Leaver was prepared to consider - or indeed listen to - negatives, or have any degree of open mind. Arguments suggesting why it's a bad idea are either glossed over, ignored, dismissed as scaremongering, or failing that, dismissed on the basis that those espousing these anti-Brexit views are corrupt. I wonder if they think the moon landings were faked?
 
Not remotely surprised. I've yet to meet a Leaver was prepared to consider - or indeed listen to - negatives, or have any degree of open mind. Arguments suggesting why it's a bad idea are either glossed over, ignored, dismissed as scaremongering, or failing that, dismissed on the basis that those espousing these anti-Brexit views are corrupt. I wonder if they think the moon landings were faked?

Ever considered the possibility that the Remain case has simply failed to convince half of the audience? To portray the two sides as having totally different levels of listening skills is to fall into your own trap.
 

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