COVID-19 — Coronavirus

[denislawsbackheel]

They think they know better when it comes to every subject tbh. Expats are the very worst of the worst when it comes to chatting shite.

Ain’t that the truth!

 

[denislawsbackheel]

Times reporting that if football is ordered to play behind closed doors Sky will be told to stop broadcasting it in pubs.

 

[M18CTID]

Not really. Unless it started in the Outer Hebrides or something equally daftly remote (which is very unlikely), then whether it starts in Hazlemere or the middle of London makes little diference. The numbers end up the same, but it might delay things by a week. Neither here nor there really.

The one crumb of comfort is this is what would happen, UNLESS significant changes are made - some trivial - like washing our hands very frequently - others more draconian, as we've seen in China. How China have managed to achieve such success is a bit of a mystery, but they have managed to get the rate of new infections right down from the perilously high levels they were at previously. So it is possible, there is "hope".

That assumes China has been totally up front with their info

 

[grunge]

Times reporting that if football is ordered to play behind closed doors Sky will be told to stop broadcasting it in pubs.

Probably a good move, You would hope they would also broadcast all matches for free in this case, the good will gesture would go a long way for them.

 

[quiet_riot]

I'll be doing a PhD this year. I have one offer on the table with two interviews pending in Astrophysics and Bio-physics.

Did you not fancy the meteorology one?

 

[City Man]

Probably a good move, You would hope they would also broadcast all matches for free in this case, the good will gesture would go a long way for them.

PSG Dortmund to be played brhind closed doors just announced.

 

[Rammy Blue]

Did you not fancy the meteorology one?

When a “like” just isn’t good enough.

 

[inchy14]

It's remarkably insightful. It was made in 2018, looking at the possibility of a future pandemic. They developed an app which 10's of thousands of people downloaded and it enabled them to model very accurately how people move and interact on a national scale, and also how infected people might infect others. It's not specific to COVID-19 - which did not exist at the time obviously - but modelled other potential new "flu-like" viruses which might one day come from the far east.

The section from 57' 30" shows how the infections would spread across the UK, following an initial 1st case in (randomly chosen) Hazlemere. It showed 42m people being infected within the 1st 4 months. And 800,000 people dead.

And here's the scary thing - if that is not scary enough. They modelled an R0 (transmission rate) of 1.8. This is lower than COVID-19, which is somewhere between 2 and 3. And they modelled a death rate of 2%. Again, lower than what we have seen with COVID-19 so far. So it could be even worse than this, UNLESS drastic counter-measures are taken right now.

I remember watching it at the time and thinking then how crazy it is, the rate it can/will travel round the country is scary. We either start taking it seriously and stop ll movement for a couple of weeks or we just let it run it's course, all these half-hearted measures, looking at playing football behind closed doors for example is a complete waste of time, it has to be all or nothing.

 

[gordondaviesmoustache]

I remember watching it at the time and thinking then how crazy it is, the rate it can/will travel round the country is scary. We either start taking it seriously and stop ll movement for a couple of weeks or we just let it run it's course, all these half-hearted measures, looking at playing football behind closed doors for example is a complete waste of time, it has to be all or nothing.

I too think they need to bite the bullet quickly.

 

[MillionMilesAway]

PSG Dortmund to be played brhind closed doors just announced.

Not much choice given the French ban on crowds.