This is the most hope-inspiring post I have seen since this whole nightmare started, thank-you!
In particular, "Since lockdowns result in exponentially decreasing numbers of cases, a comparatively short amount of time can be sufficient to achieve pathogen extinction, after which relaxing restrictions can be done without resurgence. Since the exponential decay is highly sensitive to the interventions made by both government and social action, simulating their effects is less helpful than the advice to “go all out” and refine the effort over time with improved tracing, testing, and other protocols."
I am not saying this is true or even likely. But it must surely be *possible*. If we can shut enough people in for a short period of time, there is a possibility that the infections could peter out. And if not to zero, then to a level which low enough that we can use monitoring and isolation of individuals/groups/clusters, to stop it spreading and rising up again. LIKE WE SHOULD HAVE DONE IN THE FIRST PLACE. The Chinese showed us the way and sadly, we ignored it. But there is hope at least that we could still beat this without huge loss of life.