simon23
Well-Known Member
Have a look at what we'd likely need for top 4. We've usually finished 20-30 points clear of fifth place, so we have a huge amount of drop off before it's likely.
Football doesnt work like this....the drop off is already huge.....look at the teams that are beating us and beating us comformtably....its not even difficult for them.....a very poor utd team beat us without any real problem and then there is the likes of bournmouth and a very average spurs team....
Even the one game we won (forest) we had a modicum of luck as they could and probably should have scored a couple.
Id say there is a very low chance of that watching the performances.....they aint going to suddenly get better - why do you think that will happen when you are watching how the players are????? Its not a blip...its WHERE THEY ARE NOW...this is their leve - this is not a criticism of the players - they have done wonderful amazinf things but they are now past it..they cant go again as they are not physically capable - the main stay of the team is done...KDB, Walker, Stones, Gundo - they aint suddenly going to find their form of two or 3 seasons ago.....and then there is no rodri for most of the season and ZERO gurantee he picks up where he left off when he returns..he is going to need 6 months of playing to get back to the level he was at IF he can as he has had a very serous injuryPrior to yesterday's game, Villa had gained just 3 points on us in the seven league games since this poor run started. This isn't a title battle with Liverpool, where a dropped point is a disaster - the margins are much bigger.
There's obviously no guarantee, but we could go on what would be a pretty average run of form for us till the end of the season, and still easily get fourth place. Remember this team, that many thing are totally past it, had lost just one game in fifty at the start of last month.
guaranteed to finish above us - Arsenal, Liverpool Chelsea at the very least
possible finish above us based on performances and basically being better than us at present - Villa and possibly Brighton
Then there is the unpredictable Spurs (who knows with them!!!)
The rags win today and they are 2 pts behind us - we have been a comfortable 15-20 pts more than them every season so that shows you how far we have already fallen - and they are truly shit still!!
You can add Newcastle in there as well as they have at least got some passion and physicality - which is a huge issue for us...there is Zero physicality in our team to even try to drag us through games.
Id normally be very comfortable about beating Everton at home.....this is our next game....and id say its 50-50 if we beat them...