2020 US Elections

[gordondaviesmoustache]

Figures below for early voting from the 18 - 29 age group in key states.

That 753k is just under 10% of the total votes cast to date (7.8 million all age groups voted to date), the 7.8m is 87% of the votes cast in the state in 2016. So close to 90% of the vote from last time has already voted and the youth vote has increased 7x. Early voters and youth voters favour Biden. The margin of victory in 2016 in votes was 807k. Extra youth votes at this point in the race 647k.

Texas is in play.

Astonishing to think, although those figures may spur more conservatives to turn out than would otherwise.

 

[gordondaviesmoustache]

Since the mid 1960s which probably coincided with the Civil Rights Act. Previously it was largely a Democrat a state. The leaders there in the late 50s and early 60s were always scrapping with eachother though and that resulted in a loss of power for the whole. That is why JFK went to Dallas that week, to try and stop them arguing and unite them. Anyway, sorry to be a pedant. It hasnt been Republican since the dawn of time anyway.

Was just about to post the same, mate.

 

[gordondaviesmoustache]

I'm going to stick my neck out and suggest that he's going to get absolutely obliterated next Tuesday - and in so doing I'm fully taking into account what happened in 2016.

Think he could lose Texas, Florida and Georgia.

He might be alright in Alabama and West Virginia though.

 

[blue b4 the moon]

State of him. Bet he's got loads of guns in his bedroom, above his single bed... in the basement of his mums house...

And a very sticky sock, well he is a big wanker after all.

 

[tolmie's hairdoo]

I think Trump will do it again thanks to the electoral college and Texas.

 

[FogBlueInSanFran]

I think Trump will do it again thanks to the electoral college and Texas.

Ok. Walk us through how he gets to 270. He won Texas last time.

 

[Trevor Morley's Tache]

I'm going to stick my neck out and suggest that he's going to get absolutely obliterated next Tuesday - and in so doing I'm fully taking into account what happened in 2016.

Think he could lose Texas, Florida and Georgia.

He might be alright in Alabama and West Virginia though.

II think he could lose one of Florida, Georgia or Texas, but I don't think the GOP are going to be obliterated. I'll take soundly beaten in a heartbeat though.

I don't think the Trump campaign have unleashed the full might of their attempts to subvert the the vote yet. I just have a niggling feeling that there will be one or two (predictable) surprises, akin to the last minute Hilary email scandal that could upset the apple cart.

 

[tolmie's hairdoo]

Ok. Walk us through how he gets to 270. He won Texas last time.

He could hold one of Pennsylvania, Michigan or Wisconsin

He wins Florida and Arizona and there is a path before Texas is even in play?

 

[gordondaviesmoustache]

I think Trump will do it again thanks to the electoral college and Texas.

I've asked this queston of others, Toml - and have yet to have a meaningful response - what are you basing that on other than a feeling in your gut?

 

[gordondaviesmoustache]

He could hold one of Pennsylvania, Michigan or Wisconsin

He wins Florida and Arizona and there is a path before Texas is even in play?

There's your answer tbf!

Can only see him holding Wisconsin of these three personally.