2020 US Elections

[Dax777]

So I've put together a map of what I would say is a pessimistic outlook for Biden. All my data is taken from 538.

All states even leaning towards trump I have given him including Ohio, Texas and Iowa which are by no means a cert for him but he is expected to win nonetheless. All the brown states are states where Biden leads but does not have a 90% win chance according to 538. Essentially Biden needs 22 points from the 103 where he has a lead but his lead is not certain.

Essentially what you want to take away from this post is to watch the following states like a hawk on election night:

* Nevada (6)
* Arizona (11)
* New Hampshire (4)
* Pennsylvania (20)
* North Carolina (15)
* Georgia (16)
* Florida (29)
* Maine District 2 (1)
* Nebraska District 2 (1)

Also keep an eye on Texas (38), Ohio (18) and Iowa (6). If Biden can take 22 points from the above he will win the presidency assuming he carries all states where he is above 90% likelihood to win.

There are a considerable number of combinations for Biden to hit the magic 270 mark assuming he holds his very likely states.

If Biden wins Florida or Pennsylvania. He wins the election

 

[BlueHammer85]

The UK has never been remotely close to this level of interest in a US election before. Every decent person is gripped and nervous.

I’m very confident but like everyone else, staying cautious. There have been too many election shocks recently to be sure.

Obama election was probably bigger at the time I recall.

 

[gordondaviesmoustache]

Wish this guy on Newsnight would put his phone on silent, he’s getting text messages every five seconds.

Selfish prick.

 

[kaz7]

Is it rough there?

Gay capital of britain lol

 

[Dax777]

I’m off to bed, expecting a long day tomorrow.

Thanks to all on this thread and others for the support and the perspective over the last few years of Donald Trump’s reign.

May the people rise up as one tomorrow and repudiate his attempt to destroy the fabric of the country I love.

I’ll close with this:



Wish us common sense, sanity and luck. Good night.

There is no hell. And the moral crisis is the absence of neutrality.

 

[Ste1969]

The UK has never been remotely close to this level of interest in a US election before. Every decent person is gripped and nervous.

I’m very confident but like everyone else, staying cautious. There have been too many election shocks recently to be

Obama election was probably bigger at the time I recall.

I reckon this is bigger because of the orange nutcase in charge.

 

[mat]

Quickie...can you watch CNN anywhere?
Fire stick app? YouTube?

Here's ABC/NBC and RT on YouTube.

CNN Europe will have it on Sky/Virgin

 

[Blue Hefner]

Obama election was probably bigger at the time I recall.

Bigger as an outside observer, yes. But we are no longer outside observors - whislt we don't get a say, we are effected as are most of the world. For starters, if they don't get Covid right, it will be virtually impossible for anywhere else to outside of Asia which then creates a whole new dynamic in global politics

 

[Phil1]

Selfish prick.

Tbf to Ric he's got a lot on his plate with this thread tonight..

 

[Dax777]

In 2016, Hillary Clinton made her last big public appearance in Pittsburgh, speaking in front of Pittsburgh University's famous Cathedral of Learning landmark. Yesterday Biden (with Lady Gaga) was also there.

Hope that's not an omen!

They always come to my Alma Mater. Cathedral of learning was where I went from a boy to a man.

Great memories :)