2020 US Elections

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Murph said:
Haven't really followed this and have a question. Why does the postal vote seem to favour Biden? And what is the demographic of people who use postal votes?
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Because Republican voters listened to Cuntolini and ignored the fears over covid and social distancing, so did not engage in postal voting. Democrats were sensible enough to take it seriously and took the opportunity to vote via the post and stay safe
 
Because I know American politics can be a bit confusing, and at the same time some of you have done a good job explaining things, here's a breakdown of what is likely to happen.

Biden likely wins the electoral college, but Republicans keep the Senate majority. This means when bills are passed in the House, the Senate majority leader (Mitch McConnell - Kentucky) will not bring them to a vote in the Senate as he has been doing with everything passed since Democrats took over the majority of the House in 2018. Biden can pass measures with executive actions, but Trump has stacked the Supreme Court with conservative partisans who very well may shoot down anything he tries to push. One noticeable difference would be geopolitical relationships. Our allies in your government, as well as Canada, France, Germany, etc will be happy to have Biden over Trump.

The Dems have an outside shot to get to a 50-50 tie in the Senate, which moves the tiebreaking vote to the Vice President. This would allow them to pass legislation, but to achieve this they need Gary Peters to win re-election in Michigan (likely since Biden has won that state) as well as two flips between the two Georgia races and North Carolina. Those aren't likely.

Somewhat good news is that the Senate races in 2022 are actually even tougher for Republicans. Dems are incumbents in California, Oregon, Washington, Hawaii, Colorado, Illinois, New York, Vermont, New Hampshire, Connecticut, Maryland, and Nevada (with Nevada being the only one that Republicans have somewhat of a chance of flipping). Meanwhile, the Republicans are incumbents in Idaho, Utah, North Dakota, South Dakota, Alaska, Oklahoma, Missouri, Arkansas, Louisiana, Alabama, South Carolina, Kentucky, and Indiana that should be likely Republican holds. Meanwhile they also will have to defend Kansas, Iowa, Florida, Ohio, Wisconsin, North Carolina and Pennsylvania, all of which have been shifting left or remain swing states. This means if the Dems end up at 48 seats after this year's elections, they'll need a +2 gain in 2022, or +1 if they can squeak out one seat from Georgia this year. Any number higher than that and they have an actual majority for the final two year's of Biden's potential presidency.
 
KCblue said:
Because I know American politics can be a bit confusing, and at the same time some of you have done a good job explaining things, here's a breakdown of what is likely to happen.

Biden likely wins the electoral college, but Republicans keep the Senate majority. This means when bills are passed in the House, the Senate majority leader (Mitch McConnell - Kentucky) will not bring them to a vote in the Senate as he has been doing with everything passed since Democrats took over the majority of the House in 2018. Biden can pass measures with executive actions, but Trump has stacked the Supreme Court with conservative partisans who very well may shoot down anything he tries to push. One noticeable difference would be geopolitical relationships. Our allies in your government, as well as Canada, France, Germany, etc will be happy to have Biden over Trump.

The Dems have an outside shot to get to a 50-50 tie in the Senate, which moves the tiebreaking vote to the Vice President. This would allow them to pass legislation, but to achieve this they need Gary Peters to win re-election in Michigan (likely since Biden has won that state) as well as two flips between the two Georgia races and North Carolina. Those aren't likely.

Somewhat good news is that the Senate races in 2022 are actually even tougher for Republicans. Dems are incumbents in California, Oregon, Washington, Hawaii, Colorado, Illinois, New York, Vermont, New Hampshire, Connecticut, Maryland, and Nevada (with Nevada being the only one that Republicans have somewhat of a chance of flipping). Meanwhile, the Republicans are incumbents in Idaho, Utah, North Dakota, South Dakota, Alaska, Oklahoma, Missouri, Arkansas, Louisiana, Alabama, South Carolina, Kentucky, and Indiana that should be likely Republican holds. Meanwhile they also will have to defend Kansas, Iowa, Florida, Ohio, Wisconsin, North Carolina and Pennsylvania, all of which have been shifting left or remain swing states. This means if the Dems end up at 48 seats after this year's elections, they'll need a +2 gain in 2022, or +1 if they can squeak out one seat from Georgia this year. Any number higher than that and they have an actual majority for the final two year's of Biden's potential presidency.
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so reverse of the norms where the president would actually have power at the end of his presidency, as opposed to Obama and Trump who had power in the first 2 years and then got hamstrung after that due to the midterms? That would be interesting...
 
PannickAtTheDisco said:
so reverse of the norms where the president would actually have power at the end of his presidency, as opposed to Obama and Trump who had power in the first 2 years and then got hamstrung after that due to the midterms? That would be interesting...
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especially as Harris will have that power as Joe will be incapacitated by then lol
 
bluethrunthru said:
especially as Harris will have that power as Joe will be incapacitated by then lol
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Shh, we can’t give away the secrets of our international conspiracy.

Rudi could be trawling the forum for signs of fraud and Ric will have Eric breathing heavy on his neck in minutes!
 
Emily on newsnight interviewing yet another crazy Repubican. At least not citing the deep state like the crazy Republican on Channel 4 News.
 
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