250-1 on City doing the quadruple!

[bernabias home shirt]

I'll give anyone on here double those odds - 500-1 (minimum bet £10)

Can you cover it if i have £1000

 

[welsh_andy]

think its getting a little OTT imo, we a quarter into season and ppl expecting a quad,lol if you supported city as long as me, then confidence is not sumit i have,lol.
i be happy with knockout CL stage, PL top 2 and a cup. then next season we can go for things big time, as theres still a few holes we need to fill imo

 

[bluehousemusic]

250,000:1 would be more like it.

Still, it shows how the world has changed and our new profile in the grand order of things.

5 years ago you would have got 250,000,000,000,000,000,000:1 not 250:1

You don't know your percentages do you mate!! As of the time I type (Friday) we are on average an 11/10 to win the league (47.6%) a 5/2 chance to win the CC (28.6%) a 5/1 chance for the FA Cup (16.67%) and 14/1 to win the UCL (6.67). Now obviously these prices have the bookmakers Implied margin in them of anything between 2-5% for a runner like City. But the price for the domestic treble should be 47.6% times 28.6% times 16.67% which comes out at 2.2% (Which is effectively 40/1 chance), however they will then apply further margin as it is essentially a related market. To follow on the price to win all 4 is 0.15% which is about 600/1, so again 250/1 is only adding a tiny margin<br /><br />-- Fri Oct 28, 2011 5:16 pm --<br /><br />

What's the odds on us winning nothing this season?

Because that's the margins we are operating in at the very top.

Multiply the reversal price of us not winning each event.
League 11/10 win 10/11 not to win
CC 5/2 Win 2/5 not to win
FA Cup 5/1 win 1/5 not to win
UCL 14/1 Win 1/14 not to win

Thus we are 29% chance not to win a trophy or 12/5 (29.4%) to a 100% book
And conversely we are 71% chance to win at least one trophy or 2/5 (71.4%)to a 100% book

 

[Rammyblues]

I have just give my head a wobble, would be content with one trophy, any talk of the above should be tatamount to kiss of death on citys chances.

 

[bluehousemusic]

I have just give my head a wobble, would be content with one trophy, any talk of the above should be tatamount to kiss of death on citys chances.

I agree pal i'm forty mate been through all the lows, this is all but a dream.

However I think the thread pertains to the odds on City's chances of winning trophies and not "I think City are going to win the Quad" thread.

My input is solely based on informing individuals on the % chance of events occuring.

And on that note i'm off the battle cruiser

 

[whitt]

On a more realistic scale, Wolves are 2/1 to concede the most goals this weekend. Given the other fixtures, I like this a lot.
Aguero is 16/1 to score the earliest prem goal this weekend.

Who's that with? Some money to be made there.

Paddypower mate. Online but the staff in the Piccadilly shop are usually pretty good at matching online bets if you don't have an account.

Cheers

 

[St Helens Blue (Exiled)]

Back city to win tomorrow giving wolves a 2 goal start....5/4...Get it in your accies guyd n girls

 

[bernabias home shirt]

250,000:1 would be more like it.

Still, it shows how the world has changed and our new profile in the grand order of things.

5 years ago you would have got 250,000,000,000,000,000,000:1 not 250:1

You don't know your percentages do you mate!! As of the time I type (Friday) we are on average an 11/10 to win the league (47.6%) a 5/2 chance to win the CC (28.6%) a 5/1 chance for the FA Cup (16.67%) and 14/1 to win the UCL (6.67). Now obviously these prices have the bookmakers Implied margin in them of anything between 2-5% for a runner like City. But the price for the domestic treble should be 47.6% times 28.6% times 16.67% which comes out at 2.2% (Which is effectively 40/1 chance), however they will then apply further margin as it is essentially a related market. To follow on the price to win all 4 is 0.15% which is about 600/1, so again 250/1 is only adding a tiny margin

-- Fri Oct 28, 2011 5:16 pm --

What's the odds on us winning nothing this season?

Because that's the margins we are operating in at the very top.

Multiply the reversal price of us not winning each event.
League 11/10 win 10/11 not to win
CC 5/2 Win 2/5 not to win
FA Cup 5/1 win 1/5 not to win
UCL 14/1 Win 1/14 not to win

Thus we are 29% chance not to win a trophy or 12/5 (29.4%) to a 100% book
And conversely we are 71% chance to win at least one trophy or 2/5 (71.4%)to a 100% book

I agree with this, although this format is only based on exchange betting...not high street bookies.