Chippy_boy
Well-Known Member
Re: City & FFP (continued)
Interesting to consider whether indeed success (long term success, as opposed to winning the odd match) is indeed based partly on luck. I would argue that it is not. Yes you get duff refereeing decisions and injuries and fluky goals against you and all sorts of adversities. Or the opposite, and your might have a run of good luck. This doubtless affects the outcome of games and even of seasons. But I don't think it affects the long term.
Over the long term, the better equipped you are, the better you will do. Better management, better coaching, better facilities, better players over the long term will reliably deliver better results. Look at British Cycling as an example of how meticulous attention to detail combined with excellent facilities, equipment and coaching, effectively took luck completely out of the equation. Over the long term football is also not a business about luck, it's a business like any other.
FanchesterCity said:Manchester City are really only the vehicle to showcase the ability of Abu Dhabi to represent and deliver commercial success. It could just have easily been dominance in Formula One for instance, but of course football is particularly popular and arguably better suited to rapid investment with almost immediate results (or so the theory goes).
I would expect our owners don't want to be seen as continuously throwing money at 'the problem' in order to gain success. I believe they accept it will be an accusation in the early years, but given time, and clearly visible improvements (like the infrastructure we're building), people will soon overlook the initial spending sprees. In time, people will (hopefully) interpret it as genuine investment that paid off, rather than Abramovich's image which is that he's propping up Chelsea.
With that in mind, I think the owners do want us to be a genuinely profitable business and operate well within any FFP rules. Our objection (as I see it) is we're hindered in our attempts to get to that position.
Despite all that, no matter how well run we eventually become, or how 'efficient' or 'profitable' a business we are, we will still be judged by our on field success, which ironically is the one aspect of the 'business' that's not very business like. There's no spreadsheet for winning football games, or mitigation for a dodgy penalty.
Imagine building a wonderful Manchester City brand (much like the Apple brand). Everything is right, all the business is logical and sustainable, all the marketing is in place, but there's just one catch.... your product design is partly based on the roll of the dice.
If Manchester City the team aren't successful, all the hard work behind the scenes will be overlooked. The image will be of a failed project. It must be very frustrating for the owners that a relatively minimal but hugely influential aspect of the business lies in part, to chance, and in part a clique called UEFA.
The whole brand rests on 11 players kicking a ball.
That academy we've built? it's beautiful, spectacular, impressive... but will only be deemed great business if we succeed domestically, and more importantly in CL.
Interesting to consider whether indeed success (long term success, as opposed to winning the odd match) is indeed based partly on luck. I would argue that it is not. Yes you get duff refereeing decisions and injuries and fluky goals against you and all sorts of adversities. Or the opposite, and your might have a run of good luck. This doubtless affects the outcome of games and even of seasons. But I don't think it affects the long term.
Over the long term, the better equipped you are, the better you will do. Better management, better coaching, better facilities, better players over the long term will reliably deliver better results. Look at British Cycling as an example of how meticulous attention to detail combined with excellent facilities, equipment and coaching, effectively took luck completely out of the equation. Over the long term football is also not a business about luck, it's a business like any other.