Coronavirus (2021) thread

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England hospital update:

226 admissions on Sunday v 171 previous week - 62 from the NW.



Today's in patient numbers FELL by 20 to 1445. Last week patients ROSE by 11 to 1301.

Wk to wk increase 144 - Previous wk it had been up by 37 to 1030 - wk to wk increase then 271.

So patient numbers are increasing by less wk to wk.



19 of todays fall of 20 was in the North West - which is now at 479 v 445 last Tuesday.

Other regions:- East up 4 to 86. London down 1 to 301. Midlands down 9 to 220, Yorkshire down 2 to 215, South East UP 1 to 68 and South West up 6 to 76.


Today's Ventilators FELL by 13 to 259. Last week they rose by 17 to 229. Wk before it rose by 17 to 187.

9 of the ventilator fall was in the North West too - down to 92 v 83 last week (where it had risen by 2 in day) and wk before where it was up by 7 in day to 70.


Other regions:- East down 1 to 11, London up 2 to 68, Midlands down 3 to 42, Yorkshire up 1 to 30, South East down 3 to 9 and South West stays at 7.


These are very encouraging hospital numbers.
 
Cases across the regions:


Change in last 24 hrs V seven days ago



SOUTH


East DOWN 99 to 1051 V 447

London DOWN 237 to 2069 V 1064

South East DOWN 161 to 1911 V 817

South West DOWN 298 to 1210 V 688


Falls evetywhere of simila size but still most places double last week






MIDLANDS



East DOWN 139 to 1122 V 600

West UP 113 to 1743 V 821 - only area to go up today






NORTH



North East DOWN 666 to 1439 V 714 - the biggest fall here in what was a few weeks ago the lowest in the UK with numbers under 100 for days on end.

I suspect the NW had the biggest impact from the data missing as the labs that impact Scotland often do the Norty East as well. And Scotland had data issues over past days also.


Yorkshire DOWN 275 to 2014 V 975



AND

NORTH WEST DOWN 298 to 3870 V 2790



Past weeks NW numbers are 2790 - 3620 - 3318 - 3440 - 3693 - 2763 - 4168 - 3870

Equivalent NW numbers a week earlier 2017 - 2157 - 2858 - 2754 - 2538 - 2107 - 2441 - 2790

GM numbers in past week 1248 - 1606 - 1541 - 1572 - 1579 - 1280 - 1941- 1619



The gap between GM and NW i growing visibly from 1542 a week ago to 2251 today. That is good for GM
 
Full GM details:


Total cases 1619 - DOWN 322 on Yesterday - from NW fall of 298.

So GM falls by MORE than the entire decrease across the region - which is, of course, good news.

Wk to wk UP 371 when the NW rose by 1080 So GM is again doing much better well below expected rise of around 540.



BOROUGH / CASES TODAY / V YESTERDAY / V LAST WEEK



BOLTON 112 / DOWN 9 / DOWN 6

BURY 88 / DOWN 35 / DOWN 19

MANCHESTER 389 / DOWN 62 / UP 68

OLDHAM 153 / DOWN 27 / UP 78

ROCHDALE 116 / DOWN 26 / UP 31

SALFORD 180 / DOWN 38 / UP 51

STOCKPORT 122 / DOWN 20 / UP 37

TAMESIDE 113 / DOWN 27 / UP 27

TRAFFORD 142 / DOWN 16 / UP 61

WIGAN 204 / DOWN 62 / UP 43


Bolton and Bury had excellent days both down day to day and week to week and best numbers in GM.

The rest all down daily likely due to less impaxt from the missing tests. But all up quite a bit week to week which will damae their Pop Scores whilst Bolton and Bury improve.

Stockport despite suffering like everyone else still ate off yet another huge chunk from Trafford's lead in the overall Pop Score race. 17 in the day Trafford just 25 ahead of Stockport and lost 100 points in under a week.
 
Greater Manchester

Weekly total cases:-




Bury 697, Tameside 779, Stockport 792, Bolton 816, Rochdale 817, Trafford 863, Oldham 931 , Salford 1247. Wigan 1482, Manchester 2726.



Manchester, Salford and Wigan all over 4 figures weekly and climbed a lot today. And Manchester double the rest.

Oldham's bad numbers forseen by Zoe a few days ago see it close in on a four figure total soon.

Bolton is doing really well and has gone from worst to fourth besr and not far off overtaking two of those 3 soon.

Bury like its neighbour Bolton seems to have forded the Delta and now is best in GM here and the only one average under 100 a day - just!
 
GM Weekly Pop Data after today:~

Borough / Pop Today / 7 days ago / up or down wk to wk/ Testing is % of local population who have tested positive for Covid over past year.

As ever with Pop going up is bad, going down good - the higher the number the better or worse depending on direction moving. The Pop is total cases in past week versus 100,000 POPulation to even out the comparison versus size and expected cases based on numbers living there.


Manchester 493 / 368 / UP 125 Testing positive 11.4%

Salford 482 / 330 / UP 152 Testing positive 10.7%

Wigan 451 / 314 / UP 137 Testing positive 10. 3%

Oldham 393 / 235 / UP 158 Testing positive 10.9%

Rochdale 367 / 247 / UP 120 Testing positive 10.9 %

Bury 365 / 334 / UP 31 Testing positive 10.5%

Trafford 363 / 245 / UP 118 Testing positive 8.2 %

Tameside 344 / 226 / UP 118 Testing positive 9.2%

Bolton 284 / 244 / UP 40 Testing positive 11.7%

Stockport 270 / 198 / UP 72 Testing positive 8.2%


Seven boroughs up by well over 100 week to week Pop Score wise is unprecedented in GM. Most got worse today not better.

Manchester is close to being the first GM borough with a Pop score over 500 this year.

Stockport and Bolton the two best boroughs - the only ones still in the 200s counts as good these days ! And Bolton is another day like today away from overtaking Stockport which is till rising whilst Bolton is falling.

Tomorrow Bolton could literally have gone from worst to best in 6 weeks by tomorrow.

Bury is tumbling down the list too and Bolton and Bury right now are THE two places in GM that are clearly going in the right direction.

Trafford case numbers remain worse than Stockport and lost another huge chunk of its lead on overall Pop Score.

Stockport now on 8244 and Trafford on 8219 cutting their once unassailable lead to just 25.

However, Bolton had the best score and the lowest Pop Score rise today of just 39 just ahead of Stockport. Pop Score nw on 11, 653.

With Manchester rapidly catching up by 71 today to 11, 381.

Rochdale on 10, 859 and Oldham 10, 874 still pacing one another. With Oldham running high so pulling away a bit.

Salford rose to 10, 665.

With Bury, doing much better now and falling behind on 10, 538.

Wigan went up by 62 to reach 10, 279.

So just Stockport and Trafford - both in the low 8000s for now - and Tameside a rung above on 9152. Unless it slows down Trafford is 2 - 3 weeks away from leaving those 2 as the sole GM boroughs NOT in the 10 K club. Or above.
 
GM VACCINE UPDATE:




Latest Vaccine Update by Population Percentage for 10 GM boroughs

Borough/ First Dose / Both Doses - TODAY V YESTERDAY


BOLTON 76.1% / 56.7 % V 76.0 / 56.4%

BURY 77.5% / 57.1% V 77.4% / 56.7%

MANCHESTER 60.0% / 36.5% V 59.8% / 36.3%

OLDHAM 71.9% / 53.6% V 71.8% / 53.4%

ROCHDALE 73.6% / 53.4% V 73.5% / 53.3%

SALFORD 67.0 % / 44.4% V 66.8% / 44.2%

STOCKPORT 81.8% / 60.8% V 81.6% / 60.5%

TAMESIDE 77.1% / 57.6% V 77.0% / 57.5%

TRAFFORD 79.1% / 58.2% V 78.7% / 57.9%

WIGAN 81.0% / 60.0% V 80.9% / 59.7%


Trafford had the best day up 0.7% Tameside the worst at 0.2%

Manchester finally gets to 60% first doses wheras on first doses both Stockport and Wigan now 81% plus.

And Manchester still only just over a third on second doses (v Stockport over 60% here) so a mile away from herd immunity by that route.
 
Healdplace said:
GM VACCINE UPDATE:




Latest Vaccine Update by Population Percentage for 10 GM boroughs

Borough/ First Dose / Both Doses - TODAY V YESTERDAY


BOLTON 76.1% / 56.7 % V 76.0 / 56.4%

BURY 77.5% / 57.1% V 77.4% / 56.7%

MANCHESTER 60.0% / 36.5% V 59.8% / 36.3%

OLDHAM 71.9% / 53.6% V 71.8% / 53.4%

ROCHDALE 73.6% / 53.4% V 73.5% / 53.3%

SALFORD 67.0 % / 44.4% V 66.8% / 44.2%

STOCKPORT 81.8% / 60.8% V 81.6% / 60.5%

TAMESIDE 77.1% / 57.6% V 77.0% / 57.5%

TRAFFORD 79.1% / 58.2% V 78.7% / 57.9%

WIGAN 81.0% / 60.0% V 80.9% / 59.7%


Trafford had the best day up 0.7% Tameside the worst at 0.2%

Manchester finally gets to 60% first doses wheras on first doses both Stockport and Wigan now 81% plus.

And Manchester still only just over a third on second doses (v Stockport over 60% here) so a mile away from herd immunity by that route.
Click to expand...
Although more people have caught it in Manchester which will, of course, be adding to herd immunity.
 
3118 cases in Scotland

89 in people aged 65+, now approaching triple figures when it feels like only yesterday it was single digits in this age range, low ones at that.

522 aged 45-64

1063 aged 25-44
1433 aged 0-24 (including 425 aged 0-14)

**********

1 death aged 85+

**********

Vaccines

16.5k first doses
And a very very low 9k second doses.
 
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