Coronavirus (2021) thread

[Johnny Mars Bar]

All done. Sat in the observation bit now.

Proper hate this medical stuff.

The staff are really friendly though.

 

[The Light Was Yellow Sir]

The peak of the epidemic will be reduced and delayed by restrictions, whether voluntary, compulsory or forced by infections.

Delay allows more vaccination, reducing in peak minimises healthcare overload.

Looks like it might have already burned out in SA, in which case extending its life might be exactly the wrong thing to do. We’ve got a real world evidence base that we seem reluctant to use, which seems quite unscientific.
Gauteng hospitals seeing very few extra cases and still functioning as normal, for example.

 

[splinter]

All done. Sat in the observation bit now.

Proper hate this medical stuff.

The staff are really friendly though.

Thought you don't have to wait anymore?

 

[BlueAnorak]

We won't have 400k infections today, though.

We should have if the doubling time is 2 days and the UKHSA calcs are right then..

Err...

COVID-19: Why health secretary's 200k Omicron case claim was back-of-envelope sum not a definitive number

On Monday, the health secretary said that the UK Health Security Agency had estimated that on 13 December there were around 200,000 new Omicron cases. But how did they get to this number?

news.sky.com

Hmmm...
You mean is no better than a back of a fag packet calculation?

Who'd have thought that was remotely possible?

 

[Johnny Mars Bar]

Thought you don't have to wait anymore?

They’re telling people to just like the first ones.

I had Pfizer for the first two and they gave me Moderna for the booster. Maybe that’s why?

 

[roubaixtuesday]

.

We’ve got a real world evidence base that we seem reluctant to use, which seems quite unscientific.

I posted the latest real world evidence from SA upthread.

Here's scientific comment on it.

expert reaction to press release from Discovery Health giving real-world information on their Omicron outbreak based on 211000 COVID-19 positive test results in South Africa | Science Media Centre

www.sciencemediacentre.org

 

[The Light Was Yellow Sir]

We should have if the doubling time is 2 days and the UKHSA calcs are right then..

Err...

COVID-19: Why health secretary's 200k Omicron case claim was back-of-envelope sum not a definitive number

On Monday, the health secretary said that the UK Health Security Agency had estimated that on 13 December there were around 200,000 new Omicron cases. But how did they get to this number?

news.sky.com

Hmmm...
You mean is no better than a back of a fag packet calculation?

Who'd have thought that was remotely possible.

Hard to think why people don’t trust them……

 

[Manc in London]

Children admitted to hospital with respiratory virus? Never happened in history so well worth a presser!

Interesting that the majority are under 5. Knowing lots of people who had their first child in the last decade or so, I am fully aware that many times they rushed to hospital if the kids had anything more than a runny nose.

 

[Gabriel]

The peak of the epidemic will be reduced and delayed by restrictions, whether voluntary, compulsory or forced by infections.

Delay allows more vaccination, reducing in peak minimises healthcare overload.

However, since the NHS is already overloaded dealing with the backlog of ‘regular’ cases, it also has the effect now of prolonging the peak. It’ll be like a giant Table Top Mountain, which I suppose is rather apposite.

 

[Manc in London]

51.8% Omicron in London, making Omicron the dominant strain of the virus.

FFS. I have been convinced that something out of the ordinary (have we had 'ordinary in the last two years?) has been happening down here for a few weeks now. I only have anecdotal evidence but most people I know seem to have become infected very recently. Much more so than at any other time during the pandemic. Infections have been mild or asymptomatic.