Coronavirus (2021) thread

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I'm one of those people, I travel round the country blogging about pub life and I see how important they are for communities (not just lonely saddos either), but I'm fully behind the staggered pace of re-opening.

The bigger gripe has been with financial support for pubs, particularly the ones that don't rely on food. Let's see how many survive through to May, possibly more than feared.

Beer gardens will be fun for a month.

A mate of mine runs a pub and they have actually moved to making food and so far they have actually done really well from it, they do Pizza/Jacket spuds generally and have moved into takeaway Sunday roasts. I cant see them going back to no food when they open up as its become rather popular.
 
I'm one of those people, I travel round the country blogging about pub life and I see how important they are for communities (not just lonely saddos either), but I'm fully behind the staggered pace of re-opening.

The bigger gripe has been with financial support for pubs, particularly the ones that don't rely on food. Let's see how many survive through to May, possibly more than feared.

Beer gardens will be fun for a month.
as a lonely saddo I reserve the right to sit inside esp in 80 deg weather whilst fun loving families consume microwaved shite and bounce around with their kids between tooting up in the bogs.
 
Feeling really sad for the Isle of Man - 110 cases yesterday. They only had 2 the week before - and 865 in the past 12 months in total - so one seventh of 12 months cases in 24 hours.

If that was Manchester instead of 48 cases yesterday (under half of the IOM!) it would have had over 2000 cases yesterday.

That is one heck of an outbreak on a small island that had done so well to protect its people.

Seems to show what one of these raging variants can do in a place that has shielded itself from the world. Whereas in areas that did 'less well' as shielding from the world was impractical the consequences may prove more easier to manage.

The IOM have a population of 85,000 and 16, 959 of them have had a first dose - so they have a way to go.

New Zealand may face this when the world opens up. They have vaccinated under 10,000 people - less than the IOM - and just 0.2% versus the 40% in the UK.
 
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Feeling really sad for the Isle of Man - 110 cases yesterday. They only had 2 the week before - and 865 in the past 12 months in total - so one eighth of 12 months cases in 24 hours.

That is one heck of an outbreak on a small island that had done so well to protect its people.

Seems to show what one of these raging variants can do in a place that has shielded itself from the world. Whereas in areas that did 'less well' the consequences may prove more easy to manage.

New Zealand may face this when the world opens up.
So the Isle of Man had similar case numbers to the whole of Australasia.
 
to be fair...you could swim to the IOM from Liverpool...maybe even sneeze that far...wonder how jersey and guernsey are stacking up?
Guernsey 0 cases yesterday (like almost every day) and 821 in entire pandemic. And 14 deaths. Again none recently

Similar to the IOM before this one case of the variant from Kent arrived on a ship last week.
 
Feeling really sad for the Isle of Man - 110 cases yesterday. They only had 2 the week before - and 865 in the past 12 months in total - so one seventh of 12 months cases in 24 hours.

If that was Manchester instead of 48 cases yesterday (under half of the IOM!) it would have had over 2000 cases yesterday.

That is one heck of an outbreak on a small island that had done so well to protect its people.

Seems to show what one of these raging variants can do in a place that has shielded itself from the world. Whereas in areas that did 'less well' as shielding from the world was impractical the consequences may prove more easier to manage.

The IOM have a population of 85,000 and 16, 959 of them have had a first dose - so they have a way to go.

New Zealand may face this when the world opens up. They have vaccinated under 10,000 people - less than the IOM - and just 0.2% versus the 40% in the UK.
Yeah, I think the IOM is another example of how a country that has done so well to keep the virus out is now seeing an exponential increase in cases due to having virtually zero immunity as a result of hardly any of the population being infected previously.
 
Yeah, I think the IOM is another example of how a country that has done so well to keep the virus out is now seeing an exponential increase in cases due to having virtually zero immunity as a result of hardly any of the population being infected previously.
Yes, this was my point. It is a problem I do not think many are quite understanding yet with the call to open up the planet.

Not all the planet has had a Covid pandemic.

And those that have not are at much more risk of one that can then be exported all over again - unless and until they are fully vaccinated.

Normality is not coming just because we are OK.
 
Wales data:

3 deaths - was 1 last week

166 cases - was 170 last week

3.0% positivity - was 3.3% last week

Weekly Pop 44 - down from 45 yesterday - was 60 last week
 
Yes, this was my point. It is a problem I do not think many are quite understanding yet with the call to open up the planet.

Not all the planet has had a Covid pandemic.

And those that have not are at much more risk of one that can then be exported all over again - unless and until they are fully vaccinated.

Normality is not coming just because we are OK.
Chris Witty this morning reiterating we are not safe yet and opening yet again too early will be another victory for fed up over facts. I truly despair of people who cannot learn from previous mistakes. They keep me away from my family and friends by being thick fucking morons. You are right about this being a world situation. If we don't vaccinate the poorer countries new variants will keep appearing. So even the don't send money to poor countries racist cunts, should see it as an insurance policy to keep them safe. Although they are so thick they probably won't realise that.
 
Wales vaccination update:

1. 007, 391 first doses - 9095 today - was 3237 yesterday & 7816 last week

192, 030 second doses - 8291 today - was 7685 yesterday & 7897 last week
 
Zoe App today calculates 5862 cases - it had 6242 yesterday.

It has been often around 1000 - 1500 over the total cases found later that day in the official data.

As it is based on people reporting Covid symptoms to the organisers of this app not necessarily or solely those proven yet to have Covid. Though it does record tests.

It also uses the positivity number to build its predictions - a figure that England all but ignores - though is recorded and cited by the other home nations. Positivity is posted in here all the time in the data when available as it evens out test numbers versus cases found - which is significant given how over the past weekend alone they fluctuated from under 500,000 one day to over 900,000 another. Which you do not need to be a mathematician to figure out might make a bit of difference to how many cases you find.

The Zoe App number has been falling pretty much every day for a week or two now.
 
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Chris Witty this morning reiterating we are not safe yet and opening yet again too early will be another victory for fed up over facts. I truly despair of people who cannot learn from previous mistakes. They keep me away from my family and friends by being thick fucking morons. You are right about this being a world situation. If we don't vaccinate the poorer countries new variants will keep appearing. So even the don't send money to poor countries racist cunts, should see it as an insurance policy to keep them safe. Although they are so thick they probably won't realise that.
They shouldn’t allow complete twats to ask ridiculous questions at government briefings either, doesn’t help when you get wankers saying we should be opening quicker live on tv.
 
Zoe App today calculates 5862 cases - it had 6242 yesterday.

It has been often around 1000 - 1500 over the total cases found later that day in the official data.

As it is based on people reporting Covid symptoms to the organisers of this app not necessarily or solely those proven yet to have Covid. Though it does record tests.

It also uses the positivity number to build its predictions - a figure that England all but ignores - though is recorded and cited by the other home nations. Positivity is posted in here all the time in the data when available as it evens out test numbers versus cases found - which is significant given how over the past weekend alone they fluctuated from under 500,000 one day to over 900,000 another. Which you do not need to be a mathematician to figure out might make a bit of difference to how many cases you find.

The Zoe App number has been falling pretty much every day for a week or two now.
The Zoe App does pretty well to predict trends. I couldn't see from their website how many people are participating in their Covid study, but I guess it's in the tens of thousands so quite an ask to predict a number of new infections from a fraction of a percentage of the population.

Their website is very good, isn't it ?
COVID Symptom Study - Help slow the spread of COVID-19 (joinzoe.com)
 
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