Coronavirus (2021) thread

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All of it is meaningful in the right context. The media, and subsequently people consuming it, try and simplify it down when it really isn’t possible for a lot of it and all that happens is lines get blurred and data is interpreted disingenuously for various motives.
 
Yeah I do not disagree with that. We need to look at capacity as the primary source of information to decide what to do or hopefully not do!
That’s all I was saying really. Having to discredit bad news and amplify good seems to be a theme at the moment.

The numbers are the numbers and we can only work off them.
 
Exactly, thank you.

Using words like fetishise as in the earlier posts about the data to which you reply is frankly bonkers. Numbers are numbers, They inform. Politicians decide. Instead of blaming those who post the numbers argue with those who decide what to do wth them.

Not to mention you only know the numbers as they are and make your mind up as you do because someoe collated and posted them allowing different opinions of them to develop, That is how concensus is reached. Not via ignorance of the facts.

Anything else is called guessing. And nobody sane plans a pandemic around hopeful guesswork.
But the numbers aren’t just the numbers though are they for all the reasons discussed in the last dozen or so pages.
 
Sure. Statisticians, modellers etc will be drawn here because that’s their job/hobby.

I gave up religiously staring at and interpreting stats a long time ago. I tend to flick in and out to see where the trends are going every now and then.

If Mark is forced back into the office, then he maybe should look for another job that offers WFH. I doubt he wants to extend the misery of the pandemic solely to work from home more.

What are people desperate to happen then, if not lockdowns? Hospitalisations?

If so, I ask the question again. Name one poster desperate for that to happen.
I think there are a number of people that will miss the drama of it when this thread is finally binned. I’ll mention no names.
 
Healdplace will be Using the 28 day figure I assume as it’s Fastest data we have. The death certificate figures have lag on them.

I read somewhere on the dashboard ages ago that we use the WHO’s criteria for registering a covid death and that’s what is used.

May have changed to be a bit more blanket now as I’ve not seen it mentioned for a while.

the ONS figures that have a 2 week lag def have that tho.
I usually qualify context of numbers in the data thread when I post in detail - not here as I have been repeatedly told this is not for data - though everyone else posts it here sometimes unharrassed.

It is as released by the hospitals daily but I try to put them in context because the media usually do not.

That is the only reason I collate and post the numbers so that people get the facts to interpret properly. Not as the TV news did last night tell the UK the death numbers had leapt in England to over 300 yesterday. Which was not just absurd. It was a lie.

Of course most of you do not read that context on the other thread. Just the edited details I am 'allowed' to post here.

Then I get told I am not publising enough detail in here.

The obvious intent seems to be to control content. The very thing you should be arguing agaist if you think the numbers are being misused. As they are quite a lot by the media and others. It is why I came here in the first place to read the raw numbers Gelson's Dad was posting.

Before he was surprise, surprise driven off this thread weeks into the pandemic by much the same arguments.
 
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The NHS England primary diagnosis supplement has just been released for the week ending 28 December.

It shows an overall increase of 2,076 people in hospitals with Covid (a total of 8,321).

In terms of primarily being treated for Covid, there has been an increase of 1,146 (a total now of 5,578).

This means that 45% of the net increase in people hospitalised with Covid is incidental.
That seems about right in the context of South Africa and what we have been hoping to see but rather than just assumed had to collate data to demonstrate was happening. Sorry has to fetishise posting the data to demonstrate.

Or is it only a fetish if it says things posters here do not want to see and truth covered up if it reveals the opposite?

Numbers can and should be argued over and not simpky assumed true.

But it all starts with those numbers and in a pandemic without them you are living on fumes with a mask nd a blindfold hoping that when you walk into a door there is not a cliff on the other side of it.
 
But the numbers aren’t just the numbers though are they for all the reasons discussed in the last dozen or so pages.
Of course, there are nuances you can apply to them but in the current context the numbers in hospital 'with' Covid are what matter as they dictate isolation and treatment and policy in terms of how many more patients can be admitted and whether the NHS can cope.

As I have posted several times in here I KNOW that being a Covid death does not mean you died from Covid.
The only member of my family who has died from Covid (mst of them have had it and recovered) was one of those died with or died of cases and was challenged.

That was13 months ago. So I know it more than most on here will do.
 
Anyhow I can take a hint. Good look arguing with the devil that he got it wrong because this was supposed to only impact the bad guys.
 
But the numbers aren’t just the numbers though are they for all the reasons discussed in the last dozen or so pages.

Some seem very quick and eager to forget that government policy, the lockdowns, restrictions and harm to businesses and citizens are based in these numbers.

Dare to ask for context behind them and you are immediately shot down and dismissed for doing so.

Forget case numbers, it’s now meaningless propaganda.
 
Some seem very quick and eager to forget that government policy, the lockdowns, restrictions and harm to businesses and citizens are based in these numbers.

Dare to ask for context behind them and you are immediately shot down and dismissed for doing so.

Forget case numbers, it’s now meaningless propaganda.
As it stands though there aren't any restrictions yet we have treble the amount of cases compared to last year where tens of thousands died.

I'm having a do round ours tonight and there are a couple of oldies coming so we've asked everyone to test before coming, hardly a big deal really. We wouldn't be having the do at all if we were worried about us or others getting COVID and getting really ill which was the case last year (hence why we were in lockdown).

We keep having this argument about restrictions, propaganda etc but there aren't any restrictions nor any propaganda that's put something in place. It's a bit different in places like Scotland, Wales and the rest of Europe but that's upto them. If anything the UK is the only place in Europe where propaganda and policy has been the most relaxed.
 
As it stands though there aren't any restrictions yet we have treble the amount of cases compared to last year where tens of thousands died.

I'm having a do round ours tonight and there are a couple of oldies coming so we've asked everyone to test before coming, hardly a big deal really. We wouldn't be having the do at all if we were worried about us or others getting COVID and getting really ill which was the case last year (hence why we were in lockdown).

We keep having this argument about restrictions, propaganda etc but there aren't any restrictions nor any propaganda that's put something in place. It's a bit different in places like Scotland, Wales and the rest of Europe but that's upto them. If anything the UK is the only place in Europe where propaganda and policy has been the most relaxed.

You obviously do not live in Scotland.
 
You obviously do not live in Scotland.
I certainly don't but we all know that their decision-making is mostly political and has nothing to do with the data.

In Scotland it's more about being different to England purely so that Sturgeon can have a chance to say I told you so.
 
I certainly don't but we all know that their decision-making is mostly political and has nothing to do with the data.

In Scotland it's more about being different to England purely so that Sturgeon can have a chance to say I told you so.
There are a few more restrictions in Scotland ,but it's hardly a lockdown , nor it seems particularly putting off visitors from England, my coffee shop has been heaving with them today and the holiday properties we manage are also all full.
 
It does, but if hospitals reach capacity, it doesn’t matter what they are in with? They won’t be able to get treatment, for whatever their ailment is.

Covid is still the 2/3 main driver of hospital admissions according to that graph.
Worth bearing in mind that the graph goes back to October when it was all Delta variant and the first Omicron cases here have only happened in the last few weeks. South African data for hospital admissions suggests a higher percentage of "incidental cases" with the much milder Omicron. The next set of figures will be more interesting
 
Thats life fella. Honestly some think we live with zero risk and that’s simply not the case and it’s not the answer to just lock folk away because someone might catch something and might die.

Get your vaccine, get your booster and get on with living life.
If only it was that simple but it isn't
 
You obviously do not live in Scotland.
Hers a clue. Manchester City Football Club is in Manchester, England. Why would the default be from posters to be from another country.

One minute the “hard men” of this forum are trying to build knuckle dragged reputations and then next, this thread is populated with Scousers wanting sympathy off everyone because they’ve been asked to show their phone to a steward for 2 seconds to ge into a game!
 
That scenario will NEVER GO AWAY I'm afraid. It has always been the case with flu, for example. The quicker people make peace with this the better as life is not nil risk - never has been and never will be.
But we are not at this stage yet are we? Just wishing this away and taking the King Canute route isn't going to make it go away.
 
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