COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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Manc in London said:
But then some of those who died yesterday, will have their death reported. As @BlueAnorak stated, there are issues with reporting the data in a timely fashion. I have given up using daily reported deaths as a good indicator for understanding the 'curve'.

Anyone know if positive test data is up to date?
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Thats correct. The daily test will be a lot closer as tests only take 24 hours and I assume always take 24 hours so while there will be a slight lag there won’t be some from days or weeks ago other other sources to add in. The most accurate will be hospital admissions and ICU numbers, and these are what the government will make decisions on.
 
Manc in London said:
But then some of those who died yesterday, will have their death reported. As @BlueAnorak stated, there are issues with reporting the data in a timely fashion. I have given up using daily reported deaths as a good indicator for understanding the 'curve'.

Anyone know if positive test data is up to date?
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The NHS and ONS downloads are accurate. The NHS one specifies which columns are subject to change.
 
Man_City_Loyal said:
so the actual days deaths could be higher now than whats being reported
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Yeah in a week’s time we could find out 1000 died today, only 200 of which were reported today.

Or of course lower. There may be no more than those 200 we find out about after today.

I wonder if the daily death numbers are very variable? Rather than showing any kind of trend they’re more like 400 one day 85 another day 500 the next day and 60 the day after. But it’s just easier to report them in a correlative format.
 
blueparrot said:
Thats correct. The daily test will be a lot closer as tests only take 24 hours and I assume always take 24 hours so while there will be a slight lag there won’t be some from days or weeks ago other other sources to add in. The most accurate will be hospital admissions and ICU numbers, and these are what the government will make decisions on.
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Ah right. Useful to know. Cheers
 
twosips said:
Where is this data?
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The Scottish briefings give the figures every day , not sure where the UKfigures are, but they did show a graph for critical care at yesterdays briefing that showed a levelling off, so it must be available somewhere.
 
twosips said:
Where is this data?
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It's not really available to us on a day to day basis, but the government has it. I've seen a few graphs over the last few weeks tracking it I think, but from published studies IIRC. I think one was shown in a daily briefing recently?
 
BlueAnorak said:
Yeah but I'm saying yesterdays figures would include catch ups and also the day before that as well. It's a pipeline process so what happens in the pipeline today probably happened yesterday too.
If it isn't then the numbers will crash next week when we pass the peak.
I was working in this field as part my day job from 2003-2006. What matters is that the data is recorded against the correct point in time not when it was reported.
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Plus they all reckon up to the total correctly, day-by-day, without actually being accurate for that particular day on the day.
 
nimrod said:
Friend of mine in Cornwall just told me hundreds of tourists have invaded for Easter. Tut Tut.
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Can I Brexit from all the idiots in Britain? I don’t want to be part of this country with them.
 
Nellies left peg said:
All these twats should be banned from driving and their passport rescinded for 10 years because fines are no deterrent
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I think they should all be, anything from: fined, banned from driving, banned from holidaying, made to work on the front line in hospitals changing bedsheets, deported to some random island nobody else lives on, charged with terrorist offences, shot in the head...

Take your pick.
 
sir baconface said:
Just seen the crime figures for Kent. Reported crimes almost halved (- 46 %) in the last week of March compared to the same week last year. Wow!
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Whilst impressive, I suspect the behind closed doors crimes will have increased. Domestic abuse, sexual abuse but they're the ones that don't come out until months/years down the line.

Fair play to most for respecting the emergency services though.
 
BlueAnorak said:
Yes. This is the 3rd day on the bounce that we're below the logrithmic increase trend line. This probably means the peak really will be on Sunday or Monday.
If so, it's highly likely that we will be behind Spain and Italy in mortality statics per head of population. (France and Begium too).
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Are you talking about cases or deaths though? Aren’t we testing fewer people than Spain and Italy so it stands to reason that accounts for us having fewer cases?
 
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