COVID-19 — Coronavirus

Status
Not open for further replies.
Its more than slight pro rata. Two or three days ago they did nearly twice as many tests as the 102,900 or so yesterday and only found a few extra cases. So almost the same number from half the tests is actually more concerning than it might look.

Hope someone asks t hem about that in the questions.
People have to want to have a test.
It's been a big issue for the last month.
 
Its more than slight pro rata. Two or three days ago they did nearly twice as many tests as the 102,900 or so yesterday and only found a few extra cases. So almost the same number from half the tests is actually more concerning than it might look.

Hope someone asks t hem about that in the questions.

Just looked at the numbers. It's a *big* leap really all things considered. Fingers crossed is a just a blip or some kind of admin audit.
 
Just looked at the numbers. It's a *big* leap really all things considered. Fingers crossed is a just a blip or some kind of admin audit.

Did they say how many people were tested or just tests made? Not saying it has, but there may have been more people tested multiple times on previous day's so not necessarily a true reflection of tests v people tested positive.
 
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...ergamo-have-covid-19-antibodies-idUSKBN23F2JV

Over half of people tested in Italy's Bergamo have COVID-19 antibodies

Upon reading the report it’s in relation to the worst hit towns in that area near Bergamo, but at 57% testing positive for antibodies it would seem those regions will be the first to hit the herd immunity targets. That’s my holiday destination sorted for the summer.
 
Did they say how many people were tested or just tests made? Not saying it has, but there may have been more people tested multiple times on previous day's so not necessarily a true reflection of tests v people tested positive.

They suddenly stopped reporting the number of people tested a couple of weeks ago. They have never explained why or when they will start doing it again. Other than to imply some kind of temporary hitch. Indeed they are starting to seem outright evasive over the matter. Which has to make you wonder why.

Given the way newly recorded cases is probably vital day to day to track the epidemic at this dangerous stage you do wonder why we are not allowed to see this figure in the way it used to be given daily.
 
They suddenly stopped reporting the number of people tested a couple of weeks ago. They have never explained why or when they will start doing it again. Other than to imply some kind of temporary hitch. Indeed they are starting to seem outright evasive over the matter. Which has to make you wonder why.

Given the way newly recorded cases is probably vital day to day to track the epidemic at this dangerous stage you do wonder why we are not allowed to see this figure in the way it used to be given daily.

They stopped it when journalists realised that it wasnt the number of people tested but the number of tests.

So each person represented multiple tests if they got an antibody test and an nasal swap and a blood test.
 
They suddenly stopped reporting the number of people tested a couple of weeks ago. They have never explained why or when they will start doing it again. Other than to imply some kind of temporary hitch. Indeed they are starting to seem outright evasive over the matter. Which has to make you wonder why.

Given the way newly recorded cases is probably vital day to day to track the epidemic at this dangerous stage you do wonder why we are not allowed to see this figure in the way it used to be given daily.
https://www.gov.uk/guidance/coronavirus-covid-19-information-for-the-public
 
Quite
Where is the WHO scientific evidence?
For Asymptomatic cases?
For Presymptomatic cases?
What is the their definition of rare? 1 in 50, 1 in 100, 1 in 500 or 1 in 1000? The first two will spread the virus considerably?
There was more that enough evidence for face coverings from mid April. Yet WHO did nothing.
Where is the scientific evidence for this announcement?
Apparantly rare equates to 40%.
And 16% of cases are Asymptomatic.
Staggering incompetence from WHO.

I'm only posting this articke as it is the first to go to print with the story:
https://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/281596
 
cEM87MYC_o.gif
 
morning, what is the received wisdom re lag of possible cases when comparing to events that happened in the uk? is it 3 weeks? 5 days?

e.g. VE day, bank holiday, protests etc.
 
morning, what is the received wisdom re lag of possible cases when comparing to events that happened in the uk? is it 3 weeks? 5 days?

e.g. VE day, bank holiday, protests etc.
I think we’ve used the parameter of expecting a spike after 18-21 days, which we patently haven’t had after VE Day considering that was near on 5 weeks ago now.
 
morning, what is the received wisdom re lag of possible cases when comparing to events that happened in the uk? is it 3 weeks? 5 days?

e.g. VE day, bank holiday, protests etc.

About 3 weeks for deaths. Re protests, we should see an upturn of infections inside the next week or so really if it's made a difference.
 
I think we’ve used the parameter of expecting a spike after 18-21 days, which we patently haven’t had after VE Day considering that was near on 5 weeks ago now.

I think what's most likely is that we won't see notable spikes, but it'll just fall slower than we like. We do seem to be falling at a slower rate than most, and I'd guess slacker attitudes and little moments like this keep it bubbling away.
 
I think what's most likely is that we won't see notable spikes, but it'll just fall slower than we like. We do seem to be falling at a slower rate than most, and I'd guess slacker attitudes and little moments like this keep it bubbling away.
Personally, I think the key to keeping infections low is that the close contact is outdoors. Hopefully this will be proven once again when we get to 3/4 weeks beyond these BLM protests.

We don’t seem to have had spikes since there were masses of people on beaches, as yet.
 
Prof Emma Thomson says that although large events can cause "super-spreading" of a virus, the Nike conference in Edinburgh at the end of February was "very definitely not the whole story".

That outbreak resulted in 25 cases of coronavirus, including eight in Scotland.

She said that there were "at least 113 introductions" of Covid-19 into Scotland.

"I suspect many people came back, for example from holidays, skiing and things like that with the infection and that took hold in the community on many occasions," she told Radio Scotland.

Prof Thomson has been able to track changes in the virus's genetic code across different regions of Scotland.

She said this enabled scientists to determine which country the infection had come from.

We don't think it's that likely we would have been seeing this virus in Scotland in December. It's certainly possible that it might have been here earlier in February, and a lot less likely that it was here in January based on what we've seen, although we may not have been looking for it at that time.

Prof Emma ThomsonUniversity of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research
 
so, with regards to a second wave, it seems unlikely in the summer doesn't it? we've had VE day and a couple of hot weekends blatantly flouted

(not ruling out the autumn climate re-initiating one)
 
so, with regards to a second wave, it seems unlikely in the summer doesn't it? we've had VE day and a couple of hot weekends blatantly flouted

(not ruling out the autumn climate re-initiating one)

It's the return to work factor tbh. Shopping centres opening and all that. Most people arent back indoors with people away from their households yet. Outdoors seems a lot safer due to how wind breaks the virus up I think. We'll just have to see.
 
It's the return to work factor tbh. Shopping centres opening and all that. Most people arent back indoors with people away from their households yet. Outdoors seems a lot safer due to how wind breaks the virus up I think. We'll just have to see.

yes that's a good point, greater gatherings of folks is still, in the main, outdoors. I would hazard a guess a lot of people have had others into houses, plus we have uptake of public transport and certain people going back to offices, so perhaps we are going to avoid a second summer wave. Autumn, as i say, could be a another matter
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Don't have an account? Register now and see fewer ads!

SIGN UP
Back
Top