COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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Theoretically it makes sense, I hope it all goes according to plan and it really doesn't overwhelm the NHS.

It’s going to happen no matter what we do it seems. The point now is about managing and flattening the curve and I’m unsure how we do that unless we adopt some of the measures taken elsewhere in Europe and slow the spread of the infection.

And let’s be honest ‘herd immunity’ means the weak members of the herd take the ‘hit’, the old, sick and infirm.
 
Apologies if already posted but it seems the policy of the UK Government is that we all get it in a staged controlled manner. Not sure the current inaction will achieve the controlled part.



It's basically what Merkel said about a final 60-70% infection rate,
while flattening the curve to manage help for vunerable cases.

Outdoor gatherings like sports festivals or schools could be responsible if every person involved would act responsible,
questions is, is that realistic?

Fans in Paris or Moenchengladbach in front of the stadium could be ok if they would stay at a 2m distane to each other
and use public transport in a very conscience way. Could it work?

How quick can we all learn and change our long routined daily behaviour??
 
what is the rationale for letting, for example, Cheltenham go ahead this week?

i can see why shutting the schools, businesses etc all in one go is a massive strain all at once, surely stopping cheltenham just makes sense?
 
Two things needed: Massive testing & Social Distancing.

The first gives us accurate data, the second slows the spread of what’s already out there.

Other than that, it’s triage at hospitals and take care of the most infirm to the best of our collective abilities.
 
what is the rationale for letting, for example, Cheltenham go ahead this week?

i can see why shutting the schools, businesses etc all in one go is a massive strain all at once, surely stopping cheltenham just makes sense?

I would guess just where the UK is on the model curve, as this does seem to be a live wargame, coupled with the timing in relation to any explosion in case numbers.
 
I would guess just where the UK is on the model curve, as this does seem to be a live wargame, coupled with the timing in relation to any explosion in case numbers.

i still dont understand, maybe im dense. But wouldn't it be prudent to stop many tens of thousands of people congregating in one place with an infectious disease doing the rounds, no matter where we are on the curve?
 
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