SWP's back
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Seems they do.If that's the case, why not show that and state it?
Seems they do.If that's the case, why not show that and state it?
In the meantime test numbers are high enough for stats (worldometer numbers).
In the UK 270k from 3.9m tests were positive (6.7%).
In the US 1.75m from 16m test were positive (10.9%).
Worldwide 5.8m from (very roughly) 75m test were positive (7.7%).
Shouldn't we assume in this early phase of the pandemic mostly symptomatic persons should have been tested? The chance must be quite high that we have at least hit the average infection rate.
Why should we have tested an under-average number of positive persons?
If it's true PCR tests are at least 97% accurate the true infection rate shouldn't be higher than the %-ages above, even if not welcome as a message.
No?
Talking to my cousin who is a paramedic, they are moving nearly all Covid patients to the Nightingale and they’ve seen a spike two weeks after VE Day!! She says the thinking is to get everyone out now to get infected and hopefully be able to deal with them before the inevitable winter flu hits us.
If 200,000 don't book tests what do you expect them to, go knocking on peoples front doors ?They said they would have done 200k a day by start of June.
I think that's probably because most assumed the government would actually try and stop the virus, not just give a half arsed go at it for 6 weeks and then just let everything go back to normal and pretend they'd fixed it. Hard to imagine why we wouldn't just start all getting infected again like before the lockdown, as nothing really has changed (except maybe 5% are immune and thousands are now dead)
It won't be "normal" though, it'll be quite a different normal.I got pillared on here when i said we'll all be pretty much back to normal by July/August - not ruling out a 'second wave' of some sort but it's looking likely the return to norm is not that far off
That's one idea. Setting up mobile units was another - particularly targetting workplaces, or communities with high infection rates. The effort to be able to say we'd met a target being one thing, the actual effort required to make testing effective being quite another.If 200,000 don't book tests what do you expect them to, go knocking on peoples front doors ?
If 200,000 don't book tests what do you expect them to, go knocking on peoples front doors ?
The countries in Europe are: Germany, Sweden, Netherlands, Belgium, France, Italy and Spain.Hard to comment because I don't know how or who you're comparing too. I know in other European countries they have a much higher care home population per capita than ours and in Belgium they counted cases where it was only suspected and never tested patients.
That aside, the situation in our care homes has been a farce regardless of comparisons elsewhere. For you to sound so chipper about it as part of your wider need to play down how badly the whole thing has been handled is pretty disrespectful to those who have paid the ultimate price.
I’ll not be linking a conspiracy here but this prolonged Mediterranean vibe has added to the fucking weirdness over the past two months. Greatest ’summer’ in years.
Like a childhood Pontins ad nauseum.
how many new cases in South Korea btw? More of a blip that’s being dealt with properly?
Great site. Thanks.in graph form.
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3 day rolling average
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this site is excellent, you can and and compare what ever countries you like from loads of graph options
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/...y-average?country=FRA~ITA~NLD~KOR~ESP~GBR~USA
Adding for context.... we need to realise this isn't petering out. its still increasing globally.
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A simple five minute walk outside will tell you why. Apart from the shops being open, people are meeting up with each other. I don’t think the current form of a lockdown can be sustained much longer.
I think you're right. The evidence really is stacking up.South Koreans seem to be drawing connections, albeit inconclusive, between the new ‘spike’ and the earlier one involving a nightclub.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020...ight-trouble-surge-cases-200528041458518.html
Do sense that large buildings with poor ventilation are not going to be allowed to reopen soon, which must be worrying for the pub industry in the UK.
It won't be "normal" though, it'll be quite a different normal.
What's the point wasting tests on people who don't need one ? They should only be testing people who think they have symptoms, and if people are not booking tests it's good news, because less people are suffering possible symptoms.That's one idea. Setting up mobile units was another - particularly targetting workplaces, or communities with high infection rates. The effort to be able to say we'd met a target being one thing, the actual effort required to make testing effective being quite another.
Yes but you're still supposed to keep 2m apart when mixing households, I'm certainly going to continue, so its normal is it ?well come Monday - there will be bbq party’s up and down the land, beaches packed, shops opening, trains, tubes busy (all of which has been happening anyway)
They are 3 weeks ahead of us.Our April does not look good, stays high, while others drop fast.