Mikeegrini
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- Joined
- 28 Jun 2009
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The reports then were plainly bollocks, we most likely had tens of thousands of cases by then, many/most asymptomatic, and mingling in football crowds and race meetings. We were only reporting positive tests, and we were testing next to noone, and nobody was social distancing either.
That is the week after school half term when thousands had been in badly infected but largely unknowing areas in the Alps skiing and in the Spanish sun, they brought it back to the southeast (and other Cities too), and then went to work on public transport on crammed buses trains and tubes, we even had a cup final, where 80,000 came from the north and midlands to mix and subsequently take it back to their regions.
In 1-2 weeks we were inundated with it, and most didn't realise, and that's why the deaths peaked so high in early April.
Its highly unlikely (but not impossible) to happen again unless we are very stupid as a country, and from what I see now, most people are continuing to be sensible when the reality is that when we really needed to be, most just ignored the advice, but now they know the consequences, most are now probably over the top in their precautions.
I'd agree with all that, and most people are thankfully sensible and can see the consequence otherwise. We now know that the vast majority of cases came from UK citizens returning from holidays in Europe and the numbers entering the UK now are much, much lower than then so I doubt we will be in the same position with exponential growth but if the overall plan is total elimination the virus only the measures as described above, in Australia, by The Talisman would be enough. I don't think and hope we are not going to see another surge, "just" a daily "acceptable" new case level very slowly dropping if we are lucky. I think this may be the plan from now?