COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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2 people just tested positive at my work on the 2nd floor, been using separate entrances ect, lucky for me I started working from home again to not jeopardise my holiday on Friday!
 
On this argument about deaths being weeks after new cases. Of course we all know that.

But as I keep saying in my posts the cases started rising in June. Leicester has been in lockdown since then. And both hospitalisations and deaths there fell throughout its lockdown - now heading for 2 months. Though case numbers are lower than they were they are still up on what they were when deaths were rising.

And whilst less time applies to other areas we are some weeks into rising case numbers and deaths are still falling pretty much everywhere apart from North Wales.
 
So current status week v week

Last week 15 UK hospital deaths (13 Eng/2 Wales) - this week 11 (6 Eng/5 Wales)

Cases Scotland & Wales - last week 78 - this week 55.
 
Later the all settings deaths became 65 with 50 added out of hospital to the 15.

And total cases from those 78 became 892 when England was added.

Today we start at 11 deaths and 55 cases.
 
cleavers said:
I think you missed "yet" off the end of that sentence, because deaths don't happen in days, its weeks, even months.
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Well cases now are as low as they have ever been give or take a couple of hundred each day and the deaths are coming down. By your logic weeks or even months ago there were a lot more daily cases from a lot less tests, so the number dying is only going to get even lower. Right optimistic bunch on here aren't you always looking for a negative when at the moment they are hard to find.
 
Healdplace said:
On this argument about deaths being weeks after new cases. Of course we all know that.
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Some do need reminding though, sadly, and certainly not aimed at you, as you follow it much closer than most.

New cases rising started about July 8th from a 7 day minimum of 545, but it is yet to double (though it could be close to doubling today) in a month, even with testing capacity being high. Cases were doubling in 5 days in March with barely any testing, so we're certainly in a better place right now than we were.

I'm neither positive or negative about it all, but even though cases in my area appear slow, I'm continuing to be cautious about it, and will continue to be so even if the death rate remains low, a) I don't want, b) I don't want to have to isolate, and c) I don't to be responsible for passing it on to someone else, so life isn't normal, but it's as near to it as I can hope for at the moment.
 
Wise strategy and the one I am following. Hope for the best. Plan for the worst. Minimise your risk.

I have a friend in the US who told me in February this was going to be a global disaster. Her son is a doctor in Seattle in the hospital that took the first cases from a care home there. She went out and bought a Hazmat suit on his advice. I thought she was nuts. But I was soon listening to her a little more carefully even though not to the extent of doing what she did - buying a gun and six months supplies long before lockdown was a thing.

I thought she had seen too many episodes of The Walking Dead.

But this informed my decision to become acquainted with the facts first hand (not spoonfed) and follow my three point mantra as noted at the start of this post.
 
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True_Blue69 said:
Well cases now are as low as they have ever been give or take a couple of hundred each day and the deaths are coming down. By your logic weeks or even months ago there were a lot more daily cases from a lot less tests, so the number dying is only going to get even lower. Right optimistic bunch on here aren't you always looking for a negative when at the moment they are hard to find.
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Surely the more cases there are while the death rate remains low is a good thing?
 
Does not look like they have got the hamster working at the website yet - so if we end up getting two days data in one go if they do fix it later then the numbers for the NW and GM could well be really scary. Hope not.
 
29 new cases in Northern Ireland today. Most in a while. It used to be 2 or 3 a day. Last Wednesday it was 10.
 
grunge said:
what was the difference? I've heard gossip on here but never anything soild.
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i have read a number of articles that state the German system for Covid on death certificates very much leans towards covid being a more significant contributor to death plus there needs to be a positive test (so some are missed). I do not read German so cannot verify this on their health website.

In the UK, and you could read this on the gov website, it was always the case that positive covid at any point would be a covid death (recently highlighted in the press) PLUS the certificate could, and still can, have covid on it as cause purely on the doctir's opinion, without a positive test result.
 
An interesting new figure I found that supports the lack of translation of cases into hospital case numbers is the total daily cases being found by pillar 1 tests. These are done by the NHS usually with cases presented to them already ill and so needing quick ID as to being Covid or not for purposes of treatment, as opposed to sending them off somewhere to await the result in a day or two.

Though this is not a clearcut distinction it is telling that the number of such tests which lead to the discovery of a positive case has fallen steadily over recent weeks. In early July it was 226 and six weeks on (yesterday) it was 96.
 
Website up!

New cases down to 1009.

But that is well over 2000 cases to account for in the updates.

All settings deaths 77.

This is up again on last Wednesday when it was 65 - 15 hospital + 50 out of hospital

So today it is 11 hospital + 66 out of hospital.

A little cocerning that out of hospital deaths seem to be going daily in the opposite direction to hospitals.
 
Unless I can find a way to split they are not giving access to separate days in the numbers added to regions or towns.

So these will be two day totals over the 2100 + cases over these two days.

So expect a ginormous NW add on and no real way to know if there were more yesterday than today.
 
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