******Cricket Thread******

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Yes.

And the question we're asking is can England score 4 away from home.

In which case, teams score 8 away from home is important, regardless of whether they won 0-4 or lost 12-8.
Not to the result it isn’t.

If a team is chasing 600 to win, the fielding team won’t give a shit about the runs.

If a team is chasing 375 to win, in 50 overs on day 5, the fielding team won’t give a shit about runs either.

If England score 4 away from home and lose 6-4, people would be calling for the Waistcoat to resign.
 
Not to the result it isn’t.

If a team is chasing 600 to win, the fielding team won’t give a shit about the runs.

If a team is chasing 375 to win, in 50 overs on day 5, the fielding team won’t give a shit about runs either.

If England score 4 away from home and lose 6-4, people would be calling for the Waistcoat to resign.

You need to focus less on 200 year old statistics and just watch the match in front of you.

The wicket is harmless. it's not going to bake or get rained on and change.

India look tired, the ball hasn't done anything since they wore off the sheen from their replacement. There's loads of time left.

Root hasn't looked in any trouble, Bairstow gave one chance an hour ago. They're scoring 6 an over without risking anything or breaking sweat.

7 wickets in hand.

England are heavy favourites here. That doesn't mean they'll definitely win, but they will win probably 7/10 from this position and the fact no ones chased down 378 before doesn't matter.
 
You need to focus less on 200 year old statistics and just watch the match in front of you.

The wicket is harmless. it's not going to bake or get rained on and change.

India look tired. There's loads of time left.

Root hasn't looked in any trouble, Bairstow gave one chance an hour ago.



England are heavy favourites here.
The wicket isn’t harmless. All it takes now is 2 wickets and India are huge favourites.
 
Those 2 statements are complete non-sequiturs - and the first is just wrong.
If England are huge favourites, why is Winviz at 59/39?

You should lump your life saving on if you think they are too low.

2 wickets and it’s our last batters standing, unless you think Broad/Anderson/Potts and Leach can knock off 100 between them.
 
If England are huge favourites, why is Winviz at 59/39?

You should lump your life saving on if you think they are too low.

2 wickets and it’s our last batters standing, unless you think Broad/Anderson/Potts and Leach can knock off 100 between them.
England currently 2/5 and India 2/1. Personally, I’d say the odds should be a bit closer than that even with 7 wickets in hand but perhaps 3 big successful run chases in a row prior to this one is part of their thinking.

As you say though, add 2 wickets to where we are now and it’s a completely different story.
 
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