There's an awful lot of asumption in there. It could well play out that way, but we know how unpredictable things can be. Whilst I am not in the "fanny wipe" club, I think it may be a bit closer than a few think. I think there's one thing we all agree on, and that's the sooner we seal it the better.Lets just hope we get 4 from this week and then another 4 from the two games vs Stoke and Everton - that's 8 points before the Derby. Takes us 21 ahead of the rags in theory.
Then they get 2 points from Palace and Liverpool - reduces it to 19. They beat Swansea at home before the Derby and I make that 16.
They will then have 7 games left Maximum 21 points - we beat them and the most they can then get is 18. We would be 19 ahead on my strange logic.
So in short 8 points from our next 4 games - they get 5 from the next 3 and we can win it against them on April the 7th.
I think this is what will happen. Even if we draw against them - they would be only able to get 19 and we would be 16 ahead. Would leave us needing one win to be certain after that. Take your pick from Huddersfield, Swansea or Brighton.
Its looking good!
Just need to get these 8 points in the next 4.