I don't.
I've been to every game of the current short season, I've closely watched every aspect of the side; from the defence to the style of play and desire of certain players.
And apart from Liverpool's enormous blip, there has been little encouragement to suggest we could realistically finish within the top four.
If you exclude us, I think the other "wannabes" aren't equipped well enough to mount a realistic challenge either.
We alone are the only realistic potential ball-breakers of the "big four", and from what I've seen I don't think we'll make the grade.
As an insurance policy, to save myself from misery of yet more underachievement and excuses, I put £800 on Liverpool to finish within the top four.
The odds were ridiculous at evens, which (IMO) is astonishing.
So come the inevitable failings of our mediocre manager, at least I'll have a few quid in the bank to cheer me up come May - along with (hopefully) the eventual exit of Leslie.
I consider it a safe investment, almost a guarantee, and I'd point you all in the direction of the bookies, but the odds have now fallen dramatically so it probably isn't worth the risk of a high stake.
All hail Sir Leslie The Third.