Donald Trump

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https://ig.ft.com/us-election-2020/

Biden has a convincing lead in the polls currently according to FT.
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domalino said:
It's so much worse than it looks as well, because the last time they were going up that steeply, NY and California were in complete lock down, everyone was staying home and taking it seriously.

Now huge parts of the country are pretending there is no virus, they're sending kids back to school and people back to work, opening Vegas and restaurants and hotels.

And every day before they wake up and go back into serious lockdown, the spread grows exponentially.
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That's because for some of the country there is no virus.

The US has a population size that is 4x greater than the UK and a massively varied population spread over a massive physical space which isn't accounted for in the figures.

The best example of how population skews things is New York which has seen twice as many confirmed cases as the whole of the UK however New York has a population size that is 9x smaller than the UK. New York also accounts for 10% of all US confirmed cases.

Contrast this with California which has a population perhaps 4-5x greater than New York and not too far off similar to the UK... California has seen far less cases and far less deaths than both New York and the UK.

So for some places in the US it does make sense to send people back to school and work because the virus risk is non-existant. Oklahoma for example is a massive state physically, it has a population of 8 million but it is seeing less than 10 deaths a day and less than 200 new cases a day for the whole state. There is no reason whatsoever for Oklahoma to be in lockdown.

I agree on places like Vegas but that's because Vegas is unique in it's position where people will travel and bring the virus with them. It's highly unlikely however that people will be travelling from New York to a suburb of Oklahoma city so the risk level is completely different.
 
Had thought he might stand down on health grounds, but his defiance and challenge to allegations regarding his ailing health suggest he will not.
Long way to go yet, and I think the situation will worsen for the people before November.
 
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