FA Cup 5th Round Draw 2019 - Newport (a)

[gjblues]

One thing for certain whoever rags meet it will be live on the box.

Yep, it'll be 274,913 consecutive live FA Cup ties for those muppets.

 

[The Light Was Yellow Sir]

1 in 15 is 14/1.
14+1=15
1 chance, from 15. 14 chances of not getting them.
14/1.

I have spotted my error. I’ve been blithely quoting probabilities whilst the poster I was responding to, like your good self, was talking about the odds. So, the probability of drawing Millwall is 1 in 15 but the odds of getting them are 14:1. I think........

 

[hello]

There are 15 teams we can get drawn against, 1 of them is Milwall, there are 14 others, hence the odds of drawing Milwall are 14:1

So milwall away is 28:1

 

[lancs blue]

So milwall away is 28:1

There are 30 possible draws for us if we treat home and away separately, 15 at home, 15 away. One of them is Millwall away so there are 29 others and the odds are 29-1 or a probability of 1 in 30.

 

[Gray]

There are 30 possible draws for us if we treat home and away separately, 15 at home, 15 away. One of them is Millwall away so there are 29 others and the odds are 29-1 or a probability of 1 in 30.

Thanks for that, not the way bookies work out odds but very clearly put.

 

[Saddleworth2]

Only a maximum of 7 Premier League clubs will go through to the 5th round. That must be a record low surely.

United
Wolves maybe
Watford
City
Brighton maybe
Palace or Spuds
Chelsea maybe

We must fancy our chances this season, particularly with Pep going so strong.
Really dont care who we get next, in fact there is an argument that says one of the top 6 would be easier to beat in the 5th round rather than the final.

 

[jimharri]

Only a maximum of 7 Premier League clubs will go through to the 5th round. That must be a record low surely.

United
Wolves maybe
Watford
City
Brighton maybe
Palace or Spuds
Chelsea maybe

We must fancy our chances this season, particularly with Pep going so strong.
Really dont care who we get next, in fact there is an argument that says one of the top 6 would be easier to beat in the 5th round rather than the final.

It's the one domestic trophy we haven't really done that well in since we were founded in 2008. One win and one (forgettable) final. I'd love to see us win it again.

 

[Tb1981]

Only a maximum of 7 Premier League clubs will go through to the 5th round. That must be a record low surely.

United
Wolves maybe
Watford
City
Brighton maybe
Palace or Spuds
Chelsea maybe

We must fancy our chances this season, particularly with Pep going so strong.
Really dont care who we get next, in fact there is an argument that says one of the top 6 would be easier to beat in the 5th round rather than the final.

City united spurs Chelsea wolves could be left so still some big teams
I think we can beat anyone
With our schedule a home tie against lower league team would help
So Chelsea away I reckon!

 

[Dave Ewing's Back 'eader]

Newport to beat Boro in the replay and then MCFC v Newport. However, thinks tend not to work like that. It'll be MANUre v Doncaster, Newport will play Watford away and we'll get CFC or Haringey away. Our ball is being warmed already, so much so that it will glow inside that pot!

 

[mancity1]

Bristol City away.