I just wonder whether Groves has the temperament or discipline to just box clever for 12 rounds, instead of getting into a slugfest with Froch. If he can do, then I'd edge towards a Groves decision on the cards.
Tbh though, I just think Froch is going to come out fast (Bute-style) and try to put the fear of God into Groves and possibly force Groves to engage and change his gameplan (I would have thought Fitzpatrick will be asking Groves to try and box his head off personally). If Froch gets his way, it could be an early night's work.
People keep harping on about this punch that floored Froch and yes, whilst it showed Groves carries power, it was just a prime example of Froch's naivety (which was his downfall going into that fight) in that he felt Groves simply wasn't good enough to polish his boots, and he just stood flat footed and was there to be tagged. The fact he got up and regrouped speaks volumes. I cannot see Froch making the same mistake re his footwork in the rematch.
Whilst I think Froch won the odd round before the 9th (still behind on the cards), it was only until the 9th that Froch finally showed his power in bunches and, quite simply, Groves couldn't handle it. Groves was also blowing out of his arse at that point and having thrown everything at Froch, Froch was just getting marginally stronger as the fight progressed.
Like I said, if Groves sticks to a smart gameplan then he can outbox Froch to a decision. If Froch can get him in a war, I think that favours Froch.
I've changed my mind a shitload of times already re the outcome of this, and that's what makes it such a great fight, however at the moment I'm leaning towards another Froch KO.
