How many points to win the league?

Here is a list of our remaining games against Utds.
I cannot see this happening but lets call this set of predicted results the worst case scenario.
This will still put us miles in front.
(I do not think this will be the actual results, this is just us playing awful and them amazing)

MANCHESTER CITY FIXTURES
Newcastle H - WIN
West Bromwich Albion H - WIN
Burnley A - DRAW
Leicester H - WIN
Arsenal A - DRAW
Chelsea H - DRAW
Stoke A - WIN
Brighton H - WIN
Everton A - DRAW
Manchester United H - DRAW
Tottenham A - LOSE
Swansea H - WIN
West Ham A - WIN
Huddersfield H - WIN
Southampton A - WIN
94 POINTS TOTAL



RAG FIXTURES
Burnley A - WIN
Tottenham A - DRAW
Huddersfield H - WIN
Newcastle United - WIN
Chelsea H - DRAW
Crystal Palace A - WIN
Liverpool H - DRAW
West Ham A - WIN
Swansea H - WIN
Manchester City A - DRAW
West Bromwich Albion H - WIN
Bournemouth A - WIN
Arsenal H - WIN
Brighton A - WIN
Watford H - WIN
87 POINTS TOTAL


7 points gap still even if we play average and they play great

I put this into a spreadsheet and update it after every game. The "winning margin" has increased to 8 points in the two and a half weeks since GX Blue posted this. It is a very pessimistic view of results, which I like because I am pessimistic myself. Today for example, there was no adverse affect on the outcome because an away draw for us was predicted.
 
We saw today that it is really difficult to predict results. Towards the end of the season you get some shock/odd results. This can be due to teams safe under no pressure relaxing and playing well and at the other end of the spectrum teams fighting for their lives pulling something out of the fire. Of course you also get some safe teams who are mentally on the beach and roll over. Time will obviously tell.
 
Beat Leicester, 2 week rest, then Arsenal in the cup final.

That weekend United play Chelsea at home.
 
United will need 29 points from their last 12 games to reach 85 points. That’s quite a big ask and would mean they would need to produce their best form all season.

Realistically, 5 wins and a few draws should seal it for us.
 

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