How many points will be needed to win the league? (74 GD)

[SPIDERBOY]

15 points,IMO.

 

[chesterbells]

6 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses.

Even less if we beat United and Leicester.

They have still to play each other and they can’t both win - does that alter your calculation?

 

[Leeky]

 

[abu13]

The rags an Leicester are now both on track to gain 72 points, however on current form this projection is actually dropping. We play the Rags, Southampton and Fulham in the next 10 days, win all 3 and we are on 74 points.
Come the end of the season I think we will find 2nd place will have no more than 73 points.

 

[bluegaz13]

5 wins and it ours.....United would then need to win 10 out of 11 games......it’s not going to happen

 

[MCFC1993]

They have still to play each other and they can’t both win - does that alter your calculation?

Not if United win.

If United beat us and Leicester, then we'll still need 20 points to be safe, I could take a draw off and say 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses and there's a good chance we'd do it on goal difference.

Personally though I think the line is a lot lower than that, I did think 80 points a few weeks ago, it's probably getting closer to 75 points.

 

[christened at st marks]

70-75

 

[MCFC1993]

What's the lowest people think we could get away with?

I think 3 wins, 1 draw, 7 losses, 75 points and we're probably still champions.

 

[Impeccable One]

What's the lowest people think we could get away with?

I think 3 wins, 1 draw, 7 losses, 75 points and we're probably still champions.

You know, you’re probably correct, and that sir is f’kin ridiculous to think about :O

 

[chesterbells]

Not if United win.

If United beat us and Leicester, then we'll still need 20 points to be safe, I could take a draw off and say 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses and there's a good chance we'd do it on goal difference.

Personally though I think the line is a lot lower than that, I did think 80 points a few weeks ago, it's probably getting closer to 75 points.

Yeah, agreed.
I reckon if we win on Sunday that 4 more wins should do it, but we have a break (though the players don’t - unless we pull some out like the red teams are) after the Fulham game, so in my mind if we could find a way to win these next 3, it would then allow full focus on the other 3 comps from the start of April onwards. Fingers crossed!

 

[cleavers]

If we lose to the rags, it's still done.

Correct. As I posted above to get to 80 points they need 29 out of a possible 33, they won't get close.

 

[Brightwell Bros.]

United play us and West Ham in their next two games. They're in a top four scrap, not a title race.

 

[cleavers]

What's the lowest people think we could get away with?

98 will do me ;-)

 

[jrb]

 

[PannickAtTheDisco]

League table since Xmas Day:

 

[adrianr]

What's the lowest people think we could get away with?

I think 3 wins, 1 draw, 7 losses, 75 points and we're probably still champions.

Low. All these calculations for mathematical certainty are pointless because the rags are shite and aren't winning all their games till the end of the season in a month of Sundays.

Correct. As I posted above to get to 80 points they need 29 out of a possible 33, they won't get close.

Nowhere fucking near.

 

[MCFC1993]

United play us and West Ham in their next two games. They're in a top four scrap, not a title race.

Their next 3 are us, West Ham and Leicester, hopefully we kick start them on a downward spiral.

 

[BamberBridgeBlue]

Win the league on the 3rd April at Leicester I reckon.

 

[Tbilisi]

IF City beat united, Southampton and Fulham they will be 23 points clear of united before they play West Ham on March 14th.

 

[bluebanana83]

League table since Xmas Day:

View attachment 11756

The scum have done better than I thought actually as have Arsenal.
Southampton have been horrendous.