How many trophies will we win?

malg said:
I'd take the league now and hope for the best in the other two comps.
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I think the champs league is very unlikely and i dont think we will win the league either due to injuries and the dippers managing to scrape throguh in the last few games...i can only see Chelski having a reasonable chance of taking points off them and I can see us dropping points vs palace and possibly utd/leicester (who always give us a problem)
 
cibaman said:
I've always quoted 50% for winning the league, when really I think its in a range of 45-55%. It just simplifies the calculations to use 50% and to try to finesse it further is just spurious accuracy.
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Can I just say, given 2 horse race with 1 point in it and no way to predict outcome of games ( unless believe the agenda) then I would say 50:50 about right. I’m no mathematician though
 
simon23 said:
I think the champs league is very unlikely and i dont think we will win the league either due to injuries and the dippers managing to scrape throguh in the last few games...i can only see Chelski having a reasonable chance of taking points off them and I can see us dropping points vs palace and possibly utd/leicester (who always give us a problem)
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Treble it is then
 
Goater=Legend said:
Will only start to believe after the Burnley game
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I will start to believe its doable if we get a result at Spurs. You simply have to if we get to that point.

It could crash though at any moment.

Today I am happy that we have got ourselves an insurance policy with the FA Cup Final at the end of the season.
 
All media outlets now rightly talking about aboout our chances of the impossible quadruple. I don't mind them doing so either at this stage of the season. Our issue is they start this all the way back in January and put the talk of it on our fans getting giddy and that's what annoys us. Luckily most are wise to it. Take yesterdays pre-match, you can tell Sky were looking for fans to say "we're going to do it"... and most went "not gonna happen really".

Here are potential scenarios and how I perceive them.

Slight disappointment.

a) 1 Cup: Carabao - represents a disappointing season, and one that we don't think our team deserve.
b) 2 Cups: Caraboa and FA Cup - still would be disappointing for us but I think Pep/players/fans really do want that FA Cup win, it's been a while. We've come a long way to see this haul as an underacheivement.

Happy enough after tough season:

c) 2 Cups: Caraboa and Premier League - The Premier League being retained will be a monumental acheivement due to the sheer number of games we've played.
d) 2 Cups: Caraboa and Champs League - This would also be incredible, because the pressure of losing the PL and FA Cup in quick succession rounds of a season with the hardest competition to win. The downside is Liverpool - but United would take it harder than us thankfully.

Fantastic season:

e) 3 Cups; Caraboa, FA Cup, Premier League
f) 3 Cups: Caraboa, FA Cup, Champs League
g) 3 Cups; Caraboa, Premier League, Champs League.

Unbelievable stuff:

h) 4 Cups: Caraboa, FA Cup, Premier Leauge, Champs League.
 
We have just one more game than Liverpool to play between now and the end of the season. The pressure is on both of us. Beat the Spurs and Rags and the pressure is on Liverpool.
 
berryblue said:
We have just one more game than Liverpool to play between now and the end of the season. The pressure is on both of us. Beat the Spurs and Rags and the pressure is on Liverpool.
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Our squad is better.

But we've more injuries.

Our run-in in the P/L is tougher and we've more games to play.

We're competing in more competitions (FA Cup) and may experience injuries to key players in the FA Cup final or in the P/L fixture that Liverpool has over us - in other words, our key players will face two more games to remain injury free than Liverpool's.
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So... I think we'll probably win the P/L - but its' very close.

It's more likely for me by far that we'll win the FA Cup.

As for the C/L - we should beat Spurs - but our next opponent will be stronger still. And then we face a likely even stronger opponent in the final.
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For me - the quadruple is extremely unlikely.

I think we're likely to win the FA Cup.

I hope we win the P/L - our run-in is tough and we've an extra game which we likely need to win.

The C/L is remote. Against any opponent remaining - I think I'd favor us - but to win 5 matches against 3 very strong opponents meanwhile competing for the P/L and FA cup and having already experienced injuries to key players... I think that among the remaining sides we're favorites to win the C/L - but I rate our chances at doing so maybe 35 to 50% or so given the circumstances.
 
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