How many trophies will we win?

We can do this. Ten games. Draw away to Juve. Win 9.

We can do it.
 
aguero93:20 said:
And the National. If we don't win them all we won't be a great team, according to the media.
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And Eurovision...

LORDI-break-1.jpg


That's a good look for Ederson.
 
Win the next three in all comps and I will start to believe.
 
The quad is extremely unlikely - probably we'll win one of the FA Cup/PL Title/CL Title. Winning two of these is a bit unlikely - winning all three is I think on the order of 1 in 10 or worse.
 
CityInWashingtonState said:
The quad is extremely unlikely - probably we'll win one of the FA Cup/PL Title/CL Title. Winning two of these is a bit unlikely - winning all three is I think on the order of 1 in 10 or worse.
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Around 1/2 in 10.

Premier League 60% (sneaking upwards as each game goes by).
FA Cup 70%
CL. Break it down into Q/F, SF and Final: 50%, 50%, 40% (cos I think Barcelona will be in the final).

Treble = Call it 4 in 10 because it's all 'rough'
Quadruple = 4 in a 100, or 1/2 in 10
 
CityInWashingtonState said:
The quad is extremely unlikely - probably we'll win one of the FA Cup/PL Title/CL Title. Winning two of these is a bit unlikely - winning all three is I think on the order of 1 in 10 or worse.
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We're in the FA Cup final.
I like our chances Wed night - so CL semi is on for me.
PL - we have tougher fixtures during the run in, but factor in our recent run.

I'd say 2 of the 3 remaining is very possible

The 3rd - every pundit in the country is just waiting for the quad to go tits up. Personally 3 trophies and the CS would exceed my wildest dreams.
 
Marvin said:
Around 1/2 in 10.

Premier League 60% (sneaking upwards as each game goes by).
FA Cup 70%
CL. Break it down into Q/F, SF and Final: 50%, 50%, 40% (cos I think Barcelona will be in the final).

Treble = Call it 4 in 10 because it's all 'rough'
Quadruple = 4 in a 100, or 1/2 in 10
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The market (Betfair exchange) currently indicates our chances are

PL - 54.3%
CL - 22.7%
FA Cup - 84.7%

This means the quadruple chance is 10.4%
 
The Champions League is the bridge too far I believe, but how good would sweeping up all domestic trophies this season be?
 
It might no longer be a prospect in a couple of days time so let's enjoy it while it's still a possibility.

FWIW I think we'll get past Spurs on Wednesday.
 
aguero93:20 said:
Marvin prefers to work on his pessimism and ignore the actuaries.
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Actuaries work on the probability of death. I work on the probabilities of exoplanet host stars possessing certain parameters, and the impact that has on the evolutionary fate of their planets. I wouldn't trade places with anyone thanks, except maybe an astronaut, or a footballer.
 
Marvin said:
Actuaries work on the probability of death. I work on the probabilities of exoplanet host stars possessing certain parameters, and the impact that has on the evolutionary fate of their planets. I wouldn't trade places with anyone thanks, except maybe an astronaut, or a footballer.
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Actuaries work on probabilities. They're the reason you don't see poor bookies or insurance magnates.
 
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