Is it now a 2-horse race for 4th

Its upto us and us only,
All we have to do is win our remaining matches and it doesnt matter what anybody else does, I dont care what Villa, Spurs or Liverpool do,
We won today and made progress to our goals, We have to win on Weds to progress further, simple as that.

We have the quality and ability to do it, so lets do it and stop fucking around.
 
mike o said:
Id imagine Aston "unbeaten in 2010 in the league" villa might have a say about our 2 horse race

Agree that Liverpool have alot to do to get 4th now

A win today and a win against Everton would be huge for us
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Normally headlines like this often are applied to teams playing us - you haven't won a point away this season (Burnley) play us; yer striker hasn't scored for how long (Owen) play us. I think those days are behind us and it ought to be applied to the Villa game - Villa unbeaten in 2010, play us and we'll stuff yer, right Martin?
 
Great result. Makes up for Spurs winning.

Liverpool and Villa are still in it, but clearly City and Spurs are favourites.

A lot of football left to play, and this result buys us some breathing space
 
Wonder what evertons attitude will be lose to us, and pool are out of CL, and on a downward fall to who knows where, but it has to be in our hands
 
bluemoon27 said:
jesus some very deluded people on here it will probably go to the last game of the season with if not 3 maybe 4 involved,remember fellas its city we are talking about
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Last game of the season are bankers for all the sides, arguably City have the toughest fixture of West Ham away. Whatever the teams are on the second to last game of the season, that is what they should finish as.
 
Mr Rich said:
If City hold on to their 2 goal lead against Fulham, which we know against Fulham is not always a given, then they will be 2 points ahead of Dippers with 2 games in hand. Spuds will are 4 points ahead with a game in hand on Dippers (I am aware the game in hand is against City), but Dippers have 7 games left to make up anywhere from 5 to 8 points. I don't think they can.
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NO IDEA what yopu're on about but its fair to say, THERES ONLY ONE MAN CITY...........
 
I did some statistical analysis of the home and away results against the top and bottom half teams of each of the fourth place contenders at the start of last week. This had us finishing 5th, a point behind Spurs.

I've just updated it to take this weeks games into account and it's interesting.

Spurs won at Stoke but they have a good record away against the bottom half with an average of 2.29 ppg. So they've picked up 0.71 points on what I predicted. This leaves them on a predicted finish of 69 points.

Liverpool have won at home v Pompey and lost to United since I last did it. However, they've not dropped a point at home against bottom half teams so no change on that one. They have an average of 1 point away to top half teams and therefore dropped a point off that today. I have them finishing on 63.

Villa won at Wigan but drew at home to Wolves. That gives them a net gain of 0.29 points keeping them on 63.

We won away against a top half team, where we've previously averaged 0.86 ppg so we gained 2.14 points. That has us on a predicted total of 70 points.

So, on paper, it is looking like a two-horse race with us with our noses in front at the moment but this is football.
 
Prestwich_Blue said:
I did some statistical analysis of the home and away results against the top and bottom half teams of each of the fourth place contenders at the start of last week. This had us finishing 5th, a point behind Spurs.

I've just updated it to take this weeks games into account and it's interesting.

Spurs won at Stoke but they have a good record away against the bottom half with an average of 2.29 ppg. So they've picked up 0.71 points on what I predicted. This leaves them on a predicted finish of 69 points.

Liverpool have won at home v Pompey and lost to United since I last did it. However, they've not dropped a point at home against bottom half teams so no change on that one. They have an average of 1 point away to top half teams and therefore dropped a point off that today. I have them finishing on 63.

Villa won at Wigan but drew at home to Wolves. That gives them a net gain of 0.29 points keeping them on 63.

We won away against a top half team, where we've previously averaged 0.86 ppg so we gained 2.14 points. That has us on a predicted total of 70 points.

So, on paper, it is looking like a two-horse race with us with our noses in front at the moment but this is football.
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Fascinating post mate. Great work.

Love the stats prediction stuff...
 
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