Kamala Harris

[SkyBlueFlux]

Prepare thyself to get a lot of “Gervais is a **** but Stewart Lee is patently unfunny” replies. ;-)

The beauty of it is that I'm pretty sure this part of his stand-up was designed exactly to stoke the ire of those people.

 

[SebastianBlue]

I’ve just checked and Harris’s odds have shortened considerably over the past few days. Trump is still the slight favourite with the bookies but there’s very little in it. I’m hoping this is a sign that Harris is in the box seat.

There has been a steady stream of credible analysis of polling, registration, and likely voting over the last week or so that has indicated that the “herding” effect, along with oversampling of Trump supporters (and inadequate statistical compensation for it) in many national polls, ironically partly due to pollsters being deathly afraid of being substantially wrong in this cycle, is likely overstating Trump support generally, and particularly in several swing states.

I am not getting excited, but I am far more optimistic then I was only a month ago.

I would say that the betting markets might actually be very poor indicators this cycle, as well, for a number of reasons. Chief among them are evidence that a few prominent non-regulated markets (like Polymarket) have been fraudulently manipulated to show Trump as heavily favoured, and the fact that the regulated markets themselves are largely dominated by Trump supporters (due to the heavy crossover between the day/meme trader community in the US and MAGA support, in which this sort of extreme betting culture is ingrained).

 

[kaz7]

She went on saturday nite live yesterday , something trump will never do , he cant do any interviews without ranting where as she shows a sense of humour and is less scripted

 

[bluethrunthru]

She went on saturday nite live yesterday , something trump will never do , he cant do any interviews without ranting where as she shows a sense of humour and is less scripted

More importantly she avoided simulating oral sex on a microphone and didn't feel the urge to stand and sway for 20 mins with a hymn playing on a loop

 

[kaz7]

More importantly she avoided simulating oral sex on a microphone and didn't feel the urge to stand and sway for 20 mins with a hymn playing on a loop

i despair of the yanks , i really do

 

[Mazzarelli's Swiss Cheese]

Did anyone catch her bizarre thanksgiving day thing? Absolutely off her tits on something.

 

[TinFoilHat]

Did anyone catch her bizarre thanksgiving day thing? Absolutely off her tits on something.

Came across as still in denial she lost.

 

[Mazzarelli's Swiss Cheese]

Came across as still in denial she lost.

That's to be expected in us elections really. I just thought she seemed a bit wired and disheveled. What on old money would be called off her tits on uppers

 

[mackenzie]

Did anyone catch her bizarre thanksgiving day thing? Absolutely off her tits on something.

It was a little bizarre

 

[Frank the Yank]

There has been a steady stream of credible analysis of polling, registration, and likely voting over the last week or so that has indicated that the “herding” effect, along with oversampling of Trump supporters (and inadequate statistical compensation for it) in many national polls, ironically partly due to pollsters being deathly afraid of being substantially wrong in this cycle, is likely overstating Trump support generally, and particularly in several swing states.

I am not getting excited, but I am far more optimistic then I was only a month ago.

I would say that the betting markets might actually be very poor indicators this cycle, as well, for a number of reasons. Chief among them are evidence that a few prominent non-regulated markets (like Polymarket) have been fraudulently manipulated to show Trump as heavily favoured, and the fact that the regulated markets themselves are largely dominated by Trump supporters (due to the heavy crossover between the day/meme trader community in the US and MAGA support, in which this sort of extreme betting culture is ingrained).

This didn’t age well.