SkyBlueFlux
Well-Known Member
The beauty of it is that I'm pretty sure this part of his stand-up was designed exactly to stoke the ire of those people.
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Kamala Harris
- Thread starter idahoblues
- Start date
The beauty of it is that I'm pretty sure this part of his stand-up was designed exactly to stoke the ire of those people.
SebastianBlue
President, International Julian Alvarez Fan Club
- Joined
- 25 Jul 2009
- Messages
- 57,736
There has been a steady stream of credible analysis of polling, registration, and likely voting over the last week or so that has indicated that the “herding” effect, along with oversampling of Trump supporters (and inadequate statistical compensation for it) in many national polls, ironically partly due to pollsters being deathly afraid of being substantially wrong in this cycle, is likely overstating Trump support generally, and particularly in several swing states.I’ve just checked and Harris’s odds have shortened considerably over the past few days. Trump is still the slight favourite with the bookies but there’s very little in it. I’m hoping this is a sign that Harris is in the box seat.
I am not getting excited, but I am far more optimistic then I was only a month ago.
I would say that the betting markets might actually be very poor indicators this cycle, as well, for a number of reasons. Chief among them are evidence that a few prominent non-regulated markets (like Polymarket) have been fraudulently manipulated to show Trump as heavily favoured, and the fact that the regulated markets themselves are largely dominated by Trump supporters (due to the heavy crossover between the day/meme trader community in the US and MAGA support, in which this sort of extreme betting culture is ingrained).
kaz7
Well-Known Member
She went on saturday nite live yesterday , something trump will never do , he cant do any interviews without ranting where as she shows a sense of humour and is less scripted
bluethrunthru
Well-Known Member
She went on saturday nite live yesterday , something trump will never do , he cant do any interviews without ranting where as she shows a sense of humour and is less scripted
More importantly she avoided simulating oral sex on a microphone and didn't feel the urge to stand and sway for 20 mins with a hymn playing on a loop
kaz7
Well-Known Member
i despair of the yanks , i really doMore importantly she avoided simulating oral sex on a microphone and didn't feel the urge to stand and sway for 20 mins with a hymn playing on a loop