Good work.I did a little bit of daft analysis on each teams remaining fixtures
If you list all the teams City / Liverpool and Arsenal have to play and measure them based on league position - City have marginally the easier run in (based on todays league table)
City - 87
Liverpool - 85
Arsenal - 83
(Higher number indicates playing lower in the league opposition)
When you break that out between home and away - you get a really interesting thing
City have much harder home games (39) than away games (48)
Liverpool and Arsenal have much easier home games and much harder away games - Liverpools is 56H 29A arsenals is 51H 32A
It’s a fair assumption that City, Liverpool and Arsenal will drop relatively few points at home - the title is likely to be won/lost on Liverpool/Arsenals away form
I did a much simplified calculation,
Arse have 4 of the big 6 to play (Us, Rags, Spuds, Chelsea)
Dippers have 2 (Rags, Spuds) plus a Derby away.
We have 2 (Arse, Spuds)
Villa, Brighton and Wolves also feature heavily.