Newcastle (H) - Sun 8th May, 16:30 | Pre-Match Thread

[BM96]

Don't forget the leg breakers they get away with game after game. I've seen 4 or 5 in the last couple of weeks alone.

True, but the scouser's just ignore all this, because they have Dermott Gallagher on sky every week explaining why every dodgy decision for Liverpool was correct.

 

[iwasthere1968]

Of course it's acceptable, unless you expect to win it every year then we have to accept some years we won't.This might be one hopefully it's not.

Thank you BP , I couldn't find the words to respond. Happy to be outed .

 

[bluesince76]

I think Sergio is coming for this one :)

Is he staying for Friday night though?

 

[Tangled up in blue.]

I think they will

spurs will get at least a point

Not a chance

 

[ftg89]

Is he staying for Friday night though?

Do we know any more info about this? I spoke to City on the phone last night and the bloke didn't have a clue whether it was at Mayfield Depot or the Academy stadium!

 

[Lovebitesandeveryfing]

Nowhere near as good, do people actually believe that?

I hate the dippers with a passion, but I can concede they are a great team and, I believe, very very close to us

In terms of the danger offered by their front three, I don't think there's much possible argument — they're better than us.
As a team, we're better than them, when we are all actually functioning as a team (which we inexplicably stopped doing for about six disastrous minutes on Wednesday evening, still can't get my head round it honestly).

 

[Cobwebcat]

% chances of a win in remaining fixtures including Newcastle

CITY
Newcastle 84%
Wolves 77%
West Ham 65%
Villa 70%

Liverpool
Spurs 67%
Villa 61%
Southampton 75%
Wolves 79%

So we have the advantage next two games and they have it for the last two.

Contrary to what most people think the highest chance of dropped points of all the games is Villa away for Liverpool (unless Gerrard helps them!)

 

[John Wayne]

% chances of a win in remaining fixtures including Newcastle

CITY
Newcastle 84%
Wolves 77%
West Ham 65%
Villa 70%

Liverpool
Spurs 67%
Villa 61%
Southampton 75%
Wolves 79%

So we have the advantage next two games and they have it for the last two.

Contrary to what most people think the highest chance of dropped points of all the games is Villa away for Liverpool (unless Gerrard helps them!)

What's the source for these percentage stats?

 

[Cobwebcat]

What's the source for these percentage stats?

There are lots of sites that will give you these sort of stats and bookies are probably the best, particularly someone like Pinnacle, as they have the advantage of knowing about injuries etc.

In terms of analytical prediction sites 538 is usually the best predictor and the one I like best click on “matches”

Premier League Predictions

FiveThirtyEight's Premier League predictions

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

 

[cibaman]

% chances of a win in remaining fixtures including Newcastle

CITY
Newcastle 84%
Wolves 77%
West Ham 65%
Villa 70%

Liverpool
Spurs 67%
Villa 61%
Southampton 75%
Wolves 79%

So we have the advantage next two games and they have it for the last two.

Contrary to what most people think the highest chance of dropped points of all the games is Villa away for Liverpool (unless Gerrard helps them!)

I don’t expect Liverpool to drop points, but if they do I think it’s most likely to be at Southampton. It’s a night match. It’s Southampton’s final home game of the season. They have 10 days preparation time compared to Liverpool’s 3. It’s a free hit for them, no pressure to win but the chance to finish the home season on a high.