FanchesterCity said:
jrb said:
Let's look at it like this.
United still owe £360mill on their remaining debt.(we have no debt) Apparently they are paying down in the region of £60mill each season. That's 6 yearly payments of £60mill to clear the debt. Add our current kit sponsorship deal which is £12mill a season, combine both and that comes £72mill. So in essence United will be better off by £3mill each season. Yes I appreciate that £60mill would have to come from other revenues United have, but let's just focus on this new United kit deal and tie that in with their current debt.
And don't forget. We are expanding the stadium to £62,000. How much money is that going to bring in over 10 years? We will also gain revenues from the new £100mill training academy. How much money will that bring in over 10 years. Then we have the yet to be revealed leisure destination of national and international significance and the Etihad Campus around the stadium. How much will that bring in over 10 years? And finally, the £1bill housing proposal in East Manchester, with Sheik Mansour and ADUG being the largest investor. How much will that bring in over 10 years?
The difference being. The Glazers don't have the money up front like Sheikh Mansour does. They are still paying off their massive debt. Sheikh Mansour has the money and is ready to invest it. He is investing in proposals the Glazers and United can only dream off. United rely on a successful team and their fans to generate revenue. City rely on Sheikh Mansour and his business acumen to generate revenue. Of course, having a successful team also helps. ;-0
This isn't right.
They are already paying down that debt, so you can't double count their payments in the way you're doing.
The extra revenue from the Adidas deal is just that... extra revenue for them.
What you're suggesting is as though they are currently paying of NO debt, and suddenly 60 million will be lost from the 75 coming in from Adidas. It won't.
They will of course lose CL money, but for how long? not long if they spend big (which they can now do being out of FFP for CL - not that it would have mattered much anyway with their astronomic revenues).
That's right, they are £60mill better off. I shifted that £60mill debt from their other revenues, just for their new kit deal, in comparison to ours. I appreciate I'm just juggling with figures, but let's play along for now. Robbing Peter to pay Paul. Basically that's what the Glazers have been doing since they bought United.
However, regardless of how far they are in front of us revenue wise, they will start with a -£60mill deficit for the next 6 seasons, or as long as it takes to pay off their remaining debt. This season you can add an additional -£50mill for finishing 7th in the PL, missing out on the CL, and paying off Moyes and his coaching staff. Regardless of how I, you, or anyone juggles their/those figures about, that's still an additional £110mill they could have had this season, on top of their other revenues. By any standards that's a substantial amount to lose.
Just because they spend big, that doesn't guarantee success or a CL place either. What guaranteed United's success was Alex Ferguson. Moyes wasn't Akex Ferguson. Will Louis Van Gaal be Alex Ferguson? Only time will tell. Spending aside, there will be 6 other teams fighting for 4 CL places next season. It's getting harder and harder to get one of those places.
At the end of the day every team can only play 11 players. Apart from those players, it's down to the Manager and coaching staff. Let's be honest, up to now, and even with their new found wealth, which they knew was coming, Manchester United have hardly set the transfer market a light. In the past the name and #istory of Manchester United would guarantee a player/signing, not anymore. And as it stands, United need at least 2-3 good and expensive players to mount a CL challenge, never mind a title challenge. Then factor in a new Manager, new players, and new tactics, etc, and you've got a very tuff ask for Van Gaal to get United into the top 4, never mind making a serious and sustained PL title challenge this season.
Yes they will be there or there abouts, but I can see us, Chelsea, and Arsenal taking the 1st 3 places next season. That leaves one Play off CL place up for grabs between United, Liverpool(minus Suarez), Everton, and Spurs. And don't forget, the new BT CL deal kicks in in 2015/16. Could United afford to miss out on that and CL football again?