Predictions on the referendum

gordondaviesmoustache

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“Just the right amount of northern”
I believe this deserves a separate thread, as it's an entirely different issue.

How do you think the vote will end up later this month?

I reckon it's going to be mighty close, but I think (and I might be a little biased) 'remain' will edge it by a couple of percent.

How do you see it panning out?
 
53 remain, 47 leave, the Tory party to split over the result, which combined with the SNP will finally take the UK away from a 2 party system, unfortunately the issue venom will split all remaining parties down leave/remain lines, resulting in civil war politics and stagnation.
 
I fear you will be disappointed

I dunno, George. The Scots Nats 'lost' their referendum 'cos the 'airy, lairy, scary stories of what would happen to the sky the day after they left, undid 'em. It might be the same with the InOut vote. The idea of WW3 and the bottom falling out of everything that moves might just give 'em the heebie-jeebies and get the X in the Cameron box. I'm still voting for both, but might change to an Out 'cos Mrs Ewing is being swayed by our offsprings to vote IN! It'll be mighty close, but I hope, either way, it is significant.
 
and not without good cause, as is evinced by the world about us.
I expect you are also no stranger to disappointment.
Evinced is a word that first came to my attention earlier this week, so thanks for reinforcing it within my lexicon.

I'm rarely disappointed these days. Pretty much all my disappointment seemed to come at once, over a six year period, starting in 2006.
 
I want to vote in, however I'm worried about our Sovereignty being eroded, and not having control over our borders. In the other thread on this subject if the Treaty of Rome was changed to prevent the freedom of movement for the people of the EU, I would vote in.

However thats not the case and it's not likely to happen anytime soon so I'm voting out.
 
Ignore the polls , many potential Brexit voters will bottle it at the last minute and will settle for the status quo or will not even be bothered to vote if its raining , remain will win by a very small margin , and cameron will be strutting around westminster like a dog with two d*cks , how depressing.
 
Narrow in vote followed by much bloodletting in UK politics. Tories to infight to the point of implosion and end up looking even more unelectable than labour. General election resulting in a hung Parliament with Tory ukip/ coalition to keep labour out. EU in its current form to disintegrate before anyone can force a second referendum.
 
Polling station vote in favour of leave but remain will win after the postal ballot is added in.

In the following days and weeks a whole mass of centralising legislation will be pushed through the EU by the Commission while Spain, Italy and Greece (again) reach the point of defaulting on their loans, causing several French and German banks to require emergency bailouts. New EU laws will ensure that UK taxpayers pick up more than their fair share of the tab.
 
Up here I'll be surprised if it's any closer than 67% remain 33% leave. Realise it's a different situation south of the border though.
 

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