Predictions on the referendum

The vested short term interests of business leaders beholden to shareholders and bias broadcasting will win comfortably unfortunately.
Just have to suck up whatever a vindicated, gloating EU Monolith throws at us for the foreseeable future.
 
I think there will be a very high turnout for this referendum and I predict that the remain side will win marginally. I think the main reason is for the fear factor and the remain team have successfully scared Britain in to voting for remain after their negative campaigning. I’m hearing “oh well we can have another referendum if we don’t like the EU in ten years”. It will be longer than that given the last one was in the 70s.
 
My head tells me that the Remains will win - at least 55% - the news this morning is like a rolling (orchestrated) Political Broadcast for remain and it is bound to shove the undecided into the status quo.

My heart hopes that a level of complacency sets in on the remain side that impacts their turnout and an equal level of resolve amongst the Leave side that mobilises their support to get out - and a surprise is sprung.
Typical brexit, you want a lack of voters to swing it - how is that democratic ?
 
My hope is that the silent majority turn out in their hordes and kick the narrow minded, bigoted little englanders into the far distance (not saying all leavers are such, but some are) my head says it is too close to call.
 
I think there will be a very high turnout for this referendum and I predict that the remain side will win marginally. I think the main reason is for the fear factor and the remain team have successfully scared Britain in to voting for remain after their negative campaigning. I’m hearing “oh well we can have another referendum if we don’t like the EU in ten years”. It will be longer than that given the last one was in the 70s.

According to YouGov:

Do you think the campaigns has been mostly dishonest Remain 45% Leave 44%
...............................................mostly negative 55% 51%
...............................................most unclear 46% 42%

Not much in it really. And quite low (which suggests that many haven't being paying much attention)

We've had the AV referendum, the Scottish Referendum and now the EU referendum in the last few years. We're becoming referendum happy.
 
According to YouGov:

Do you think the campaigns has been mostly dishonest Remain 45% Leave 44%
...............................................mostly negative 55% 51%
...............................................most unclear 46% 42%

Not much in it really. And quite low (which suggests that many haven't being paying much attention)

We've had the AV referendum, the Scottish Referendum and now the EU referendum in the last few years. We're becoming referendum happy.

After the GE 2015 I am ignoring opinion Polls.

My prediction was purely a guess perhaps based on conversations I've had and what I've seen from Social Media.
 
I can't help but think this was always a land grab to get power. It wouldn't surprise me, if there is a remain vote, Johnson, Gove and IDS have an attempt at forcing an English IndyRef.
 
Sterling and the Bank of England - Arrivederci


Opposition to Brexit is based on two powerful interests of Washington.

One is the interests of the New York banks and Wall Street to eliminate the UK as a financial center competitor. This blatant fact has escaped the notice of the City and the Bank of England.

The British have forgotten that they only have one foot in the EU, because the UK was permitted to keep its own currency. The UK does not use the euro and, thus, retains the power to finance the British government. Greece, Portugal, Spain, Italy, France, Germany, etc., do not have this capability. They are dependent on private banks for financing.

In order to trick the UK into joining the EU, the British were given special privileges. However, these privileges cannot last forever. The EU process is one of political integration. As I reported years ago, Jean-Claude Trichet, at that time the president of the European Central Bank, said that to complete the political integration of Europe, the fiscal policies of member states would be centralized. It is impossible to centralize fiscal policies if the UK is an independent financial center with its own central bank and currency.

Wall Street understands that the defeat of Brexit means a shortened lifespan for London as a financial center, as it is impossible to be a financial center unless a country has its own currency and central bank. As it is impossible for the UK to be a member of the EU and not operate under the European Central Bank, once the Brexit referendum is defeated, the process of gradually forcing the UK into the euro will begin.

The other powerful interest is the interest of Washington to prevent one country’s exit from
leading to the exit of other countries. As CIA documents found in the US National Archives make clear, the EU was a CIA initiative, the purpose of which is to make it easy for Washington to exercise political control over Europe. It is much easier for Washington to control the EU than 28 separate countries. Moreover, if the EU unravels, so likely would NATO, which is the necessary cover for Washington’s aggression.


http://www.cashkurs.com/kategorie/wirtschaftsfacts/beitrag/ckwirtschaftsfacts-in-conversation-with-michael-hudson/
 
Wall Street understands that the defeat of Brexit means a shortened lifespan for London as a financial center, as it is impossible to be a financial center unless a country has its own currency and central bank.
That's Wall Street fucked then, isn't it?
 
BOE / pound to be extinct within 2 years courtesy of the BREMAIN because that officially helps backstop the deutschebank £55 trillion in derivatives where Germany / EZ is just not big enough to justify it in a contracting EZ. You thought £375 billion in pounds was bad, you ain’t seen where the ECB is going on this one and YOU ARE IN!

Have a nice day all, sun is shining … feels like a weird day today, the last of a kind.

LikeLike
 
Those early gains that Sterling made against the US Dollar and the Euro seem to be being eroded as the day wears on. Is there a possibility that some of those banking on a Remain vote winning are having second thoughts
 
Remain 55% Leave 45%

Just bought some Euros (going to Portugal next Wednesday) and the guy at the Post Office told me they'd never been as busy. If people are so spooked at the possibility of us leaving then they're hardly likely to vote for it are they?
 

Don't have an account? Register now and see fewer ads!

SIGN UP
Back
Top