Premier League Games | 19th-23rd April '25

Not sure you understand how a league works.
You must be seeing something I’m not. Newcastle, Villa and City have all played the same number of games. We are one point behind Newcastle and one point above Villa. Regardless of what Forest do tomorrow if we beat Villa on Tuesday we move above Newcastle and four points clear of Villa. Forest will have a game in hand. We have a superior goal difference to any team in places 3 to 7.

Anything I’m missing ?
 
Not imo. Newcyhave tough fixtures so losing tonight is huge for us, Tuesday is massive. Win that and I think we will end up 3rd.

I expect us to win the remaining 5 games and be 3rd at least.

Purely statistically, the Villa win here makes it more likely we will finish 3rd, but it also makes it more likely we finish 6th. That's the side effect of the teams "bunching up" - the ones at the top are less far ahead and the ones at the bottom are less far behind.

So it depends on how much of an optimist you are and if you think that ultimately, when push comes to shove, we will handle the pressure of the teams being closer together better than the others will.
 

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