Russian invasion of Ukraine

JASR said:
I'd suggest that would be a good plan (as long as logistics can support the long arc of supply).

Having drawn a large portion of the 'elite' russian forces and others to the Kherson region by disinformation, if the russian supply lines can be cut by getting to the Black sea coast at Mariupol and then turning/advancing west, then all the russians west of that cut ... are cut-off effectively.

The russians around the Zapo nuclear station (top right of yellow area, to right of large blue river - see below) are trapped, and can only retreat/fight through via Crimea.
The russians around Kherson are trapped and can only retreat via Crimea.

The pinch point at the top of Crimea (if you look at a better detailed map - ha! - there's only narrow bits of land joining the rest of Ukraine to Crimea), would become a kill/surrender zone as the russians try and retreat (if they are ordered to...).

The Kerch bridge would then become another massive pinch point for the forces in Crimea + any of the retreating forces that make it.

So approx:
View attachment 55494
Yellow: under threat russian forces
Red arrows: possible Ukrainian advances
Purple crosses: pinch points.


Edit: @SPIDERBOY Seems to indicate that Mariupol is the target :-)


edit2: If Russia gets out of Crimea, I doubt they'd be able (within lifetimes) to get back in, as Ukraine will festoon the Crimea coast with anti-ship missiles, so any sea-borne invasion would be wiped out. An airborne invasion - would end in a similar fashion. Putin, if the war continues as it is, has just from a military perspective effectively put a highly sophisticated determined armed force directly on his border for the 1st time since the cold war - all by his own actions. Lost a large portion of control of the Black sea , bottled up his ships/ports to the Sea of Azov (the Kerch pinch point). Reduced his elite troops and elite weaponary to fractions of it's previous strength. Wrecked the officer corps of all 3 armed services belief in their commander's and commander in chief.
Click to expand...
Sounds more than feasible, and adding it to this ....
SPIDERBOY said:
About 5 week before the weather turns.....the way Ukraine are going,could be over by then....."COULD".

Slava Ukraini.
Click to expand...

I’d say that somehow securing an area of land around Mariupol, taking out the Kerch Bridge, and then letting Generals Winter and Time slowly eliminate the Russian forces, it’s game set and match before the winter is done (if not before).
 
RobMCFC said:
Sounds more than feasible, and adding it to this ....


I’d say that somehow securing an area of land around Mariupol, taking out the Kerch Bridge, and then letting Generals Winter and Time slowly eliminate the Russian forces, it’s game set and match before the winter is done (if not before).
Click to expand...
Definitely need to take that bridge out. But it appears they don't have the missiles to do so as yet. I'm sure the yanks are liniing up something for them that has that capability.
 
RobMCFC said:
Sounds more than feasible, and adding it to this ....


I’d say that somehow securing an area of land around Mariupol, taking out the Kerch Bridge, and then letting Generals Winter and Time slowly eliminate the Russian forces, it’s game set and match before the winter is done (if not before).
Click to expand...
Yeah, winter, with their forces trapped/unsuppliable...forcing a complete surrender of the western russian forces, that would be an incredible victory
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Unread Posts

Don't have an account? Register now and see fewer ads!

SIGN UP
Back
Top